Santos vs Sao Paulo Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 04

Santos

W L L W L

15th place in Brazil Serie A

1-1

04/02/2026 16:00

Sao Paulo

L L D L L

12th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Santos vs Sao Paulo on February 04, 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Santos vs Sao Paulo preview before placing for you.

Santos are currently 15th with 22 points after 20 matches.
Sao Paulo sit 12th with 26 points from 20 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Santos to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Santos, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sao Paulo have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-04

Santos vs Sao Paulo - Prediction & Odds

Santos

Sao Paulo

2026-02-04 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

31/01/2026 16:30

Sao Paulo

2 - 0

Santos

BRA SP

21/09/2025 16:30

Santos

1 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

20/04/2025 12:00

Sao Paulo

2 - 1

Santos

BRA D1

01/02/2025 17:15

Santos

3 - 1

Sao Paulo

BRA SP

14/02/2024 15:30

Sao Paulo

0 - 1

Santos

BRA SP

12/11/2023 14:30

Santos

0 - 0

Sao Paulo

BRA D1

Santos

50%

Draw

17%

Sao Paulo

33%

Santos Last 6 matches

31/01/2026 16:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Santos BRA SP

28/01/2026 16:00

Chapecoense SC 4 - 2 Santos BRA D1

25/01/2026 12:00

Santos 0 - 0 Bragantino BRA SP

22/01/2026 15:30

Santos 1 - 1 Corinthians Paulista (SP) BRA SP

18/01/2026 16:30

Guarani SP 1 - 1 Santos BRA SP

14/01/2026 15:30

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Santos BRA SP

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Sao Paulo

31/01/2026 16:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Santos BRA SP

28/01/2026 17:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Flamengo BRA D1

24/01/2026 14:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

21/01/2026 15:30

Sao Paulo 2 - 3 Portuguesa Desportos BRA SP

18/01/2026 12:00

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 1 Sao Paulo BRA SP

15/01/2026 17:45

Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Sao Bernardo BRA SP

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Santos

Sao Paulo

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored

Avg. per game

1.00

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 11 home matches

YesNo

8 (73%)3 (27%)

In last 11 home matches

NoYes

6 (67%)3 (33%)

Santos

Recent matches

Sao Paulo

Under /Over

(91%)10 1(9%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)7 2(22%)

Under /Over

(36%)4 7(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(11%)1 8(89%)

Under /Over

(36%)4 7(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)5 4(44%)

/Yes

(64%)7 4(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)5 4(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Santos

Sao Paulo

Shots

Santos

Total shots

9.82 avg / game

Blocked

31 total

Avg. 3.10

Sao Paulo

Total shots

13.22 avg / game

Blocked

41 total

Avg. 4.56

Santos Pass Sao Paulo

Total passes

4181

Avg. 380 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

3681

Avg. 409 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Santos

Played games

Sao Paulo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

0.33

4.91

Corners

7.11

16.00

176

Throw-ins

149

16.56

1.64

Offsides

1.33

2.09

GK saves

2.78

Santos

DISCIPLINARY

Sao Paulo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.91

1.67

0.27

0.00

12.00

132

Fouls

114

12.67

9.82

108

Tackles

108

12.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Santos vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Santos vs Sao Paulo on 04 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Santos vs Sao Paulo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Santos's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sao Paulo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Santos and Sao Paulo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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