Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 13 September

Santa Lucia

D D D D W

11th place in League

7-0

13/09/2025 12:00

Mtarfa

L D L L L

16th place in League

Malta First Division League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa on 13 September 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa preview before placing your bet.

Santa Lucia are currently 11th with 18 points after 15 matches.
Mtarfa sit 16th with 4 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Santa Lucia to win with probability 74%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Santa Lucia and Mtarfa have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-09-13

Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa - Prediction & Odds

Santa Lucia

Mtarfa

2025-09-13 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 13/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Balzan FC	35	15	11	2	2	37	10	27
02 Swieqi United	32	15	10	2	3	34	21	13
03 Birzebbuga	31	15	10	1	4	29	15	14
04 Sirens	29	15	9	2	4	39	19	20
05 Melita FC Saint Julian	29	15	9	2	4	34	19	15
06 Fgura United	25	15	8	1	6	33	24	9
07 Pieta Hotspurs	24	15	7	3	5	27	21	6
08 St. Andrews	23	15	7	2	6	19	23	-4
09 Mgarr United FC	22	15	6	4	5	28	24	4
10 Gudja United	22	15	5	7	3	16	13	3
11 Santa Lucia	18	15	4	6	5	27	25	2
12 Zurrieq	14	15	4	2	9	21	27	-6
13 Vittoriosa Stars	12	15	3	3	9	17	24	-7
14 Marsa	10	15	2	4	9	18	28	-10
15 Zebbug Rangers	8	15	2	2	11	9	37	-28
16 Mtarfa	4	15	1	1	13	9	67	-58

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Swieqi United	49	7	5	2	0	16	5	11
02 Balzan FC	48	7	4	1	2	13	11	2
03 Birzebbuga	46	7	4	3	0	18	12	6
04 Pieta Hotspurs	35	7	3	2	2	15	13	2
05 Sirens	35	7	2	0	5	11	14	-3
06 Melita FC Saint Julian	35	7	2	0	5	6	11	-5
07 Fgura United	32	7	2	1	4	8	13	-5
08 St. Andrews	27	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8

Relegation Quarterfinals	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mgarr United FC	33	7	3	2	2	13	9	4
02 Gudja United	32	7	3	1	3	13	12	1
03 Santa Lucia	30	7	3	3	1	13	6	7
04 Zurrieq	27	7	4	1	2	15	11	4
05 Vittoriosa Stars	21	7	2	3	2	9	9	0
06 Zebbug Rangers	20	7	3	3	1	14	8	6
07 Marsa	19	7	2	3	2	14	10	4
08 Mtarfa	4	7	0	0	7	1	27	-26

Head To Head

30/11/2024 11:30

Mtarfa

0 - 3

Santa Lucia

MAL D2

12/09/2015 13:15

Mtarfa

1 - 0

Santa Lucia

MAL Cup

Santa Lucia

50%

Draw

Mtarfa

50%

Santa Lucia Last 6 matches

19/04/2025 10:30

Zurrieq 2 - 0 Santa Lucia AMEC

13/04/2025 11:30

Swieqi United 2 - 2 Santa Lucia MAL D2

05/04/2025 12:00

Santa Lucia 0 - 3 Valletta FC MAL D2

29/03/2025 09:00

Santa Lucia 3 - 1 Marsa MAL D2

09/03/2025 11:30

Pieta Hotspurs 3 - 3 Santa Lucia MAL D2

02/03/2025 13:30

Santa Lucia 1 - 1 Mgarr United FC MAL D2

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Mtarfa

12/04/2025 09:00

Mtarfa 3 - 2 Fgura United MAL D2

06/04/2025 14:00

Gudja United 1 - 3 Mtarfa MAL D2

30/03/2025 10:30

Mtarfa 0 - 1 St. Andrews MAL D2

08/03/2025 11:30

Zebbug Rangers 0 - 2 Mtarfa MAL D2

02/03/2025 11:30

Sirens 1 - 1 Mtarfa MAL D2

27/02/2025 15:30

Mgarr United FC 1 - 0 Mtarfa AMEC

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Malta First Division L...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Santa Lucia

168

Mtarfa

Goals

Scored

128

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

157

Avg. per game

0.93

Scored

Avg. per game

0.45

Conceded

103

Avg. per game

1.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 168 matches

YesNo

93 (55%)75 (45%)

In last 168 matches

NoYes

29 (37%)49 (63%)

Santa Lucia

Recent matches

Mtarfa

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Santa Lucia

Mtarfa

Shots

Santa Lucia

Total shots

9.06 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Mtarfa

Total shots

6.63 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Santa Lucia Pass Mtarfa

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

40%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Santa Lucia

168

Played games

Mtarfa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.12

4.20

705

Corners

269

3.45

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.04

Offsides

0.01

0.93

156

GK saves

0.17

Santa Lucia

DISCIPLINARY

Mtarfa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

373

162

2.08

0.14

0.18

0.14

Fouls

0.21

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa on 13 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Malta First Division League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Santa Lucia vs Mtarfa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Santa Lucia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mtarfa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Malta First Division League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Malta First Division League standings and the Malta First Division League form table to understand exactly where Santa Lucia and Mtarfa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Malta First Division League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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