Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Sammaurese

D L L L L

No standing data

3-1

04/01/2026 09:30

Castelfidardo

L W L D L

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo on 04 January 2026 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Castelfidardo to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Sammaurese, who have won 2 of the last 2 meetings. Castelfidardo have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2026-01-04

Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo - Prediction & Odds

Sammaurese

Castelfidardo

2026-01-04 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Sammaurese and Castelfidardo in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

07/09/2025 09:00

Castelfidardo

1 - 3

Sammaurese

ITA S4

03/02/2019 09:30

Sammaurese

1 - 0

Castelfidardo

ITA S4

Sammaurese

100%

Draw

Castelfidardo

Sammaurese Last 6 matches

21/12/2025 09:30

Sammaurese 0 - 0 ASD Victor San Marino ITA S4

14/12/2025 09:30

ASD Atletico Ascoli 3 - 2 Sammaurese ITA S4

07/12/2025 09:30

Sammaurese 0 - 3 Ancona ITA S4

30/11/2025 09:30

L'Aquila 4 - 0 Sammaurese ITA S4

23/11/2025 09:30

Sammaurese 0 - 1 ASD Termoli Calcio ITA S4

16/11/2025 09:30

AS Ostia Mare 7 - 0 Sammaurese ITA S4

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Castelfidardo

21/12/2025 09:30

Sora 2 - 1 Castelfidardo ITA S4

14/12/2025 09:30

Castelfidardo 1 - 0 FC Fossombrone 1949 ITA S4

07/12/2025 10:00

Vigor Senigallia 2 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4

30/11/2025 09:30

Castelfidardo 1 - 1 Giulianova ITA S4

23/11/2025 10:00

Mar Ratase 2 - 0 Castelfidardo ITA S4

16/11/2025 09:30

Castelfidardo 2 - 3 Unipomezia ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Played games

Sammaurese

Castelfidardo

Goals

Scored

101

Avg. per game

1.10

Conceded

107

Avg. per game

1.16

Scored

Avg. per game

1.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 92 home matches

YesNo

59 (64%)33 (36%)

In last 92 home matches

NoYes

38 (75%)13 (25%)

Sammaurese

Recent matches

Castelfidardo

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sammaurese

Castelfidardo

Shots

Sammaurese

Total shots

8.22 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Castelfidardo

Total shots

10.58 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Sammaurese Pass Castelfidardo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sammaurese

Played games

Castelfidardo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.22

2.11

194

Corners

1.86

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.34

Offsides

0.20

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Sammaurese

DISCIPLINARY

Castelfidardo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.41

130

1.27

0.04

0.12

1.86

171

Fouls

0.86

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo on 04 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sammaurese vs Castelfidardo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sammaurese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Castelfidardo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Sammaurese and Castelfidardo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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