Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 09

Saint Mirren

D L L W W

10th place in League

0-3

09/05/2026 10:00

Kilmarnock

D L W W L

11th place in League

Scottish Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock on May 09, 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock preview before placing for you.

Saint Mirren are currently 10th with 30 points after 33 matches.
Kilmarnock sit 11th with 28 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Saint Mirren to win with probability 46%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2026-05-09

Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock - Prediction & Odds

Saint Mirren

Kilmarnock

2026-05-09 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Heart of Midlothian	70	33	21	7	5	58	28	30
02 Glasgow Rangers	69	33	19	12	2	66	31	35
03 Celtic FC	67	33	21	4	8	59	35	24
04 Motherwell	54	33	14	12	7	52	29	23
05 Hibernian	51	33	13	12	8	51	37	14
06 Falkirk	46	33	13	7	13	45	48	-3
07 Dundee United	40	33	9	13	11	45	54	-9
08 Aberdeen	33	33	9	6	18	33	48	-15
09 Dundee FC	33	33	8	9	16	34	53	-19
10 Saint Mirren	30	33	7	9	17	27	48	-21
11 Kilmarnock	28	33	6	10	17	37	65	-28
12 Livingston	16	33	1	13	19	35	66	-31

Relegation Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Dundee United	45	5	1	2	2	4	6	-2
02 Dundee FC	42	5	3	0	2	8	8	0
03 Kilmarnock	40	5	4	0	1	13	3	10
04 Aberdeen	40	5	2	1	2	7	7	0
05 Saint Mirren	34	5	1	1	3	3	7	-4
06 Livingston	21	5	1	2	2	5	9	-4

Championship Group	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Celtic FC	82	5	5	0	0	14	6	8
02 Heart of Midlothian	80	5	3	1	1	9	6	3
03 Glasgow Rangers	72	5	1	0	4	10	12	-2
04 Motherwell	61	5	2	1	2	7	7	0
05 Hibernian	57	5	2	0	3	7	7	0
06 Falkirk	49	5	1	0	4	5	14	-9

Saint Mirren Last 6 matches

01/08/2026 21:00

Falkirk 0 - 2 Saint Mirren Scottish Premiership

26/07/2026 21:00

Saint Mirren 0 - 1 Dunfermline Athletic Scotland League Cup

22/07/2026 01:45

Saint Mirren 4 - 3 East Kilbride Scotland League Cup

18/07/2026 21:00

Cove Rangers 0 - 4 Saint Mirren Scotland League Cup

11/07/2026 21:00

Dumbarton 0 - 4 Saint Mirren Scotland League Cup

27/06/2026 20:00

Arbroath 2 - 4 Saint Mirren International Club Friendly

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Kilmarnock

02/08/2026 20:00

Saint Johnstone 4 - 3 Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership

25/07/2026 21:00

Peterhead 0 - 0 Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup

22/07/2026 01:45

Kilmarnock 1 - 0 Hamilton Academical Scotland League Cup

18/07/2026 21:00

Elgin City 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Scotland League Cup

15/07/2026 01:45

Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Raith Rovers Scotland League Cup

04/07/2026 19:00

Linfield FC 2 - 3 Kilmarnock International Club Friendly

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Scottish Premier Leagu...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Saint Mirren

Kilmarnock

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.35

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.05

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 20 home matches

YesNo

7 (35%)13 (65%)

In last 20 home matches

NoYes

8 (42%)11 (58%)

Saint Mirren

Recent matches

Kilmarnock

Under /Over

(50%)10 10(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(79%)15 4(21%)

Under /Over

(10%)2 18(90%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(15%)3 17(85%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Saint Mirren

Kilmarnock

Shots

Saint Mirren

Total shots

12.65 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 4.22

Kilmarnock

Total shots

13.47 avg / game

Blocked

73 total

Avg. 3.84

Saint Mirren Pass Kilmarnock

Total passes

7636

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

6801

Avg. 358 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Saint Mirren

Played games

Kilmarnock

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

Clean sheets

0.32

5.50

110

Corners

4.84

19.35

387

Throw-ins

453

23.84

2.10

Offsides

1.95

2.70

GK saves

3.11

Saint Mirren

DISCIPLINARY

Kilmarnock

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.95

2.11

0.15

0.11

12.20

244

Fouls

256

13.47

10.55

211

Tackles

193

10.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Scottish Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Saint Mirren vs Kilmarnock Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Saint Mirren's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Kilmarnock's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Scottish Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Scottish Premier League standings and the Scottish Premier League form table to understand exactly where Saint Mirren and Kilmarnock sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Scottish Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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