Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – July 21

Sagan Tosu

D L W L W

20th place in J-League Division 1

1-4

21/07/2024 06:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

W L L L W

2nd place in J-League Division 1

J-League Division 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce on July 21, 2024 (kick-off: 06:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce preview before placing for you.

Sagan Tosu are currently 20th with 35 points after 38 matches.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce sit 2nd with 68 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Hiroshima Sanfrecce to win with probability 62%.
Head-to-head history favors Hiroshima Sanfrecce, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Sagan Tosu have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:00

2024-07-21

Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce - Prediction & Odds

Sagan Tosu

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

2024-07-21 06:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/07/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Vissel Kobe	72	38	21	9	8	61	36	25
02 Hiroshima Sanfrecce	68	38	19	11	8	72	43	29
03 Machida Zelvia	66	38	19	9	10	54	34	20
04 Gamba Osaka	66	38	18	12	8	49	35	14
05 Kashima Antlers	65	38	18	11	9	60	41	19
06 Tokyo Verdy	56	38	14	14	10	51	51	0
07 FC Tokyo	54	38	15	9	14	53	51	2
08 Kawasaki Frontale	52	38	13	13	12	66	57	9
09 Yokohama Marinos	52	38	15	7	16	61	62	-1
10 Cerezo Osaka	52	38	13	13	12	43	48	-5
11 Nagoya Grampus	50	38	15	5	18	44	47	-3
12 Avispa Fukuoka	50	38	12	14	12	33	38	-5
13 Urawa Red Diamonds	48	38	12	12	14	49	45	4
14 Kyoto Sanga	47	38	12	11	15	43	55	-12
15 Shonan Bellmare	45	38	12	9	17	53	58	-5
16 Albirex Niigata	42	38	10	12	16	44	59	-15
17 Kashiwa Reysol	41	38	9	14	15	39	51	-12
18 Jubilo Iwata	38	38	10	8	20	47	68	-21
19 Consadole Sapporo	37	38	9	10	19	43	66	-23
20 Sagan Tosu	35	38	10	5	23	48	68	-20

Head To Head

09/03/2024 02:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

4 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

02/09/2023 06:00

Sagan Tosu

0 - 2

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

JPN D1

09/04/2023 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

1 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

05/11/2022 01:00

Sagan Tosu

2 - 2

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

JPN D1

19/02/2022 01:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

0 - 0

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

03/07/2021 06:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

1 - 1

Sagan Tosu

JPN D1

Sagan Tosu

Draw

50%

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

50%

Sagan Tosu Last 6 matches

14/07/2024 06:00

Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Gamba Osaka JPN D1

10/07/2024 05:30

Sagan Tosu 3 - 1 Yokohama FC JE Cup

06/07/2024 05:30

Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

03/07/2024 06:00

Yokohama Marinos 0 - 1 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

30/06/2024 06:00

Sagan Tosu 1 - 4 Kashiwa Reysol JPN D1

26/06/2024 06:00

Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Sagan Tosu JPN D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Hiroshima Sanfrecce

14/07/2024 05:30

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka JPN D1

10/07/2024 06:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 4 - 0 Iwaki FC JE Cup

05/07/2024 06:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 1 - 3 Vissel Kobe JPN D1

29/06/2024 06:00

Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

26/06/2024 06:00

Hiroshima Sanfrecce 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata JPN D1

22/06/2024 06:00

Kashiwa Reysol 0 - 1 Hiroshima Sanfrecce JPN D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues J-League Division 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

179

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

192

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored

307

Avg. per game

1.02

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 254 matches

YesNo

126 (50%)128 (50%)

In last 254 matches

NoYes

190 (63%)110 (37%)

Sagan Tosu

Recent matches

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Sagan Tosu

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Shots

Sagan Tosu

Total shots

10.05 avg / game

Blocked

273 total

Avg. 2.79

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Total shots

13.93 avg / game

Blocked

623 total

Avg. 4.39

Sagan Tosu Pass Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Total passes

64291

Avg. 476 / game

Accurate

771%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

87501

Avg. 442 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Sagan Tosu

254

Played games

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.33

4.57

1160

Corners

1711

5.70

1.37

347

Throw-ins

2324

7.75

1.40

355

Offsides

451

1.50

2.59

659

GK saves

644

2.15

Sagan Tosu

DISCIPLINARY

Hiroshima Sanfrecce

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.06

270

279

0.93

0.05

0.04

8.87

2254

Fouls

2745

9.15

5.78

1467

Tackles

2545

8.48

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

JEF United Ichihara Chiba

How We Build the Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce on 21 July 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this J-League Division 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Sagan Tosu vs Hiroshima Sanfrecce Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Sagan Tosu's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Hiroshima Sanfrecce's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

J-League Division 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live J-League Division 1 standings and the J-League Division 1 form table to understand exactly where Sagan Tosu and Hiroshima Sanfrecce sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our J-League Division 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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