River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

River Plate

W W L L W

1st place in Group H

2-0

11/04/2024 20:00

Nacional Montevideo

W W D D W

2nd place in Group H

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo on 11 April 2024 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

River Plate are currently 1st with 16 points after 6 matches.
Nacional Montevideo sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: River Plate to win with probability 68%.
Head-to-head history favors River Plate, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2024-04-11

River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

River Plate

Nacional Montevideo

2024-04-11 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2024

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 River Plate	16	6	5	1	0	12	3	9
02 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
03 Clud Libertad	7	6	2	1	3	7	8	-1
04 Deportivo Tachira	1	6	0	1	5	2	11	-9

Head To Head

17/12/2020 20:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 6

River Plate

CON CLA

10/12/2020 20:30

River Plate

2 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

11/01/2020 19:45

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 4

River Plate

ARG TPV

15/01/2019 21:10

River Plate

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

ARG TPV

07/04/2009 20:15

River Plate

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

19/03/2009 20:50

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

River Plate

CON CLA

River Plate

50%

Draw

33%

Nacional Montevideo

17%

River Plate Last 6 matches

07/04/2024 20:00

River Plate 2 - 1 Rosario Central ARG D1

02/04/2024 20:30

Deportivo Tachira 0 - 2 River Plate CON CLA

29/03/2024 19:30

CA Huracan 1 - 0 River Plate ARG D1

22/03/2024 19:00

Independiente Rivadavia 4 - 0 River Plate INT CF

17/03/2024 17:30

River Plate 3 - 1 Gimnasia La Plata ARG D1

13/03/2024 20:10

River Plate 2 - 1 Estudiantes La Plata ARG SC

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Nacional Montevideo

06/04/2024 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

03/04/2024 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Clud Libertad CON CLA

29/03/2024 15:00

CA Penarol 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

23/03/2024 17:30

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

14/03/2024 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Always Ready CON CLA

10/03/2024 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

291

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

127

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

185 (62%)115 (38%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

River Plate

Recent matches

Nacional Montevideo

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

River Plate

Nacional Montevideo

Shots

River Plate

Total shots

13.66 avg / game

Blocked

639 total

Avg. 3.67

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

River Plate Pass Nacional Montevideo

Total passes

119572

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

River Plate

300

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

136

Clean sheets

119

0.40

5.08

1525

Corners

1351

4.50

12.17

3652

Throw-ins

312

1.04

1.37

412

Offsides

0.26

2.11

633

GK saves

447

1.49

River Plate

DISCIPLINARY

Nacional Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.05

614

704

2.35

0.09

0.14

10.54

3162

Fouls

636

2.12

12.56

3767

Tackles

727

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo on 11 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

River Plate vs Nacional Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess River Plate's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nacional Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where River Plate and Nacional Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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