Rio Ave vs Moreirense: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Rio Ave

W D L D L

12th place in Portugal Primera Liga

1-2

16/02/2026 16:15

Moreirense

D W L W L

7th place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rio Ave vs Moreirense on 16 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rio Ave vs Moreirense preview before placing your bet.

Rio Ave are currently 12th with 36 points after 34 matches.
Moreirense sit 7th with 43 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Moreirense to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Moreirense, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Rio Ave have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:15

2026-02-16

Rio Ave vs Moreirense - Prediction & Odds

Rio Ave

Moreirense

2026-02-16 16:15

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

13/09/2025 10:30

Moreirense

3 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

13/04/2025 15:30

Moreirense

0 - 2

Rio Ave

POR D1

30/11/2024 11:30

Rio Ave

3 - 2

Moreirense

POR D1

13/07/2024 05:30

Rio Ave

1 - 2

Moreirense

INT CF

02/03/2024 11:30

Moreirense

0 - 0

Rio Ave

POR D1

17/11/2023 06:30

Moreirense

2 - 0

Rio Ave

INT CF

Rio Ave

33%

Draw

17%

Moreirense

50%

Rio Ave Last 6 matches

08/02/2026 14:00

Sporting Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

31/01/2026 14:00

Rio Ave 0 - 3 FC Arouca POR D1

25/01/2026 11:30

Nacional da Madeira 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

17/01/2026 16:30

Rio Ave 0 - 2 Benfica POR D1

04/01/2026 11:30

Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC POR D1

28/12/2025 16:30

Sporting CP 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Moreirense

07/02/2026 11:30

Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente POR D1

30/01/2026 16:45

Vitoria Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense POR D1

24/01/2026 11:30

Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara POR D1

17/01/2026 14:00

Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense POR D1

11/01/2026 14:00

Moreirense 1 - 0 CD Tondela POR D1

03/01/2026 16:30

AVS Futebol SAD 0 - 2 Moreirense POR D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

192

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

192

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 260 matches

YesNo

134 (52%)126 (48%)

In last 260 matches

NoYes

130 (51%)126 (49%)

Rio Ave

Recent matches

Moreirense

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rio Ave

Moreirense

Shots

Rio Ave

Total shots

10.87 avg / game

Blocked

408 total

Avg. 2.81

Moreirense

Total shots

10.42 avg / game

Blocked

416 total

Avg. 2.83

Rio Ave Pass Moreirense

Total passes

67487

Avg. 407 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

63894

Avg. 383 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rio Ave

260

Played games

Moreirense

256

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

0.28

4.18

1087

Corners

941

3.68

12.56

3266

Throw-ins

3349

13.08

1.40

365

Offsides

265

1.04

2.58

670

GK saves

578

2.26

Rio Ave

DISCIPLINARY

Moreirense

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

586

574

2.24

0.12

0.09

11.07

2879

Fouls

3053

11.93

9.46

2460

Tackles

2345

9.16

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rio Ave vs Moreirense Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rio Ave vs Moreirense on 16 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rio Ave vs Moreirense Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rio Ave's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Moreirense's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Rio Ave and Moreirense sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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