Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 17

Rio Ave

W D L D L

12th place in Portugal Primera Liga

0-2

17/01/2026 20:30

Benfica

W W W D D

3rd place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rio Ave vs Benfica on January 17, 2026 (kick-off: 20:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rio Ave vs Benfica preview before placing for you.

Rio Ave are currently 12th with 36 points after 34 matches.
Benfica sit 3rd with 80 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Rio Ave have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:30

2026-01-17

Rio Ave vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Rio Ave

Benfica

2026-01-17 20:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

23/09/2025 19:15

Benfica

1 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

16/03/2025 18:00

Rio Ave

2 - 3

Benfica

POR D1

27/10/2024 18:00

Benfica

5 - 0

Rio Ave

POR D1

17/05/2024 19:45

Rio Ave

1 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

14/01/2024 18:00

Benfica

4 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

02/04/2023 17:00

Rio Ave

0 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

Rio Ave

Draw

33%

Benfica

67%

Rio Ave Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 15:30

Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC POR D1

28/12/2025 20:30

Sporting CP 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

20/12/2025 18:00

Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1

13/12/2025 18:00

Rio Ave 0 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

06/12/2025 18:00

AVS Futebol SAD 1 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1

30/11/2025 15:30

Rio Ave 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Benfica

07/01/2026 20:00

Benfica 1 - 3 Sporting Braga PORLC

03/01/2026 18:00

Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril POR D1

28/12/2025 18:00

Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Benfica POR D1

22/12/2025 20:45

Benfica 1 - 0 FC Famalicao POR D1

17/12/2025 20:45

SC Farense 0 - 2 Benfica POR CUP

14/12/2025 18:00

Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Rio Ave

Benfica

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored

Avg. per game

1.29

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

8 (47%)9 (53%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

13 (76%)4 (24%)

Rio Ave

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rio Ave

Benfica

Shots

Rio Ave

Total shots

12.41 avg / game

Blocked

66 total

Avg. 4.40

Benfica

Total shots

18.12 avg / game

Blocked

84 total

Avg. 4.94

Rio Ave Pass Benfica

Total passes

6691

Avg. 394 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

8276

Avg. 487 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rio Ave

Played games

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.18

Clean sheets

0.41

5.12

Corners

127

7.47

18.24

310

Throw-ins

330

19.41

1.24

Offsides

1.94

3.24

GK saves

2.35

Rio Ave

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.53

1.65

0.29

0.06

12.29

209

Fouls

193

11.35

9.41

160

Tackles

195

11.47

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rio Ave vs Benfica on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rio Ave vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rio Ave's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Rio Ave and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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