Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 17

Rio Ave

W D L D L

12th place in Portugal Primera Liga

0-2

17/01/2026 16:30

Benfica

W W W D D

3rd place in Portugal Primera Liga

Portugal Primera Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rio Ave vs Benfica on January 17, 2026 (kick-off: 16:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rio Ave vs Benfica preview before placing for you.

Rio Ave are currently 12th with 36 points after 34 matches.
Benfica sit 3rd with 80 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Benfica to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Rio Ave have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:30

2026-01-17

Rio Ave vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Rio Ave

Benfica

2026-01-17 16:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Porto	88	34	28	4	2	66	18	48
02 Sporting CP	82	34	25	7	2	89	24	65
03 Benfica	80	34	23	11	0	74	25	49
04 Sporting Braga	59	34	16	11	7	64	36	28
05 FC Famalicao	56	34	15	11	8	42	29	13
06 Gil Vicente	50	34	13	11	10	47	38	9
07 Moreirense	43	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12
08 FC Arouca	42	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17
09 Vitoria Guimaraes	42	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12
10 Estoril	39	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3
11 Alverca	39	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17
12 Rio Ave	36	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22
13 Santa Clara	36	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9
14 Nacional da Madeira	34	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8
15 Estrela da Amadora	30	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18
16 Casa Pia AC	30	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26
17 CD Tondela	28	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28
18 AVS Futebol SAD	21	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40

Head To Head

23/09/2025 15:15

Benfica

1 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

16/03/2025 14:00

Rio Ave

2 - 3

Benfica

POR D1

27/10/2024 14:00

Benfica

5 - 0

Rio Ave

POR D1

17/05/2024 15:45

Rio Ave

1 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

14/01/2024 14:00

Benfica

4 - 1

Rio Ave

POR D1

02/04/2023 13:00

Rio Ave

0 - 1

Benfica

POR D1

Rio Ave

Draw

33%

Benfica

67%

Rio Ave Last 6 matches

04/01/2026 11:30

Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia AC POR D1

28/12/2025 16:30

Sporting CP 4 - 0 Rio Ave POR D1

20/12/2025 14:00

Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1

13/12/2025 14:00

Rio Ave 0 - 1 Vitoria Guimaraes POR D1

06/12/2025 14:00

AVS Futebol SAD 1 - 2 Rio Ave POR D1

30/11/2025 11:30

Rio Ave 1 - 1 Santa Clara POR D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Benfica

07/01/2026 16:00

Benfica 1 - 3 Sporting Braga PORLC

03/01/2026 14:00

Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril POR D1

28/12/2025 14:00

Sporting Braga 2 - 2 Benfica POR D1

22/12/2025 16:45

Benfica 1 - 0 FC Famalicao POR D1

17/12/2025 16:45

SC Farense 0 - 2 Benfica POR CUP

14/12/2025 14:00

Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica POR D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Primera Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

125

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

157

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

313

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

121

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 260 matches

YesNo

97 (37%)163 (63%)

In last 260 matches

NoYes

183 (61%)117 (39%)

Rio Ave

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rio Ave

Benfica

Shots

Rio Ave

Total shots

10.87 avg / game

Blocked

408 total

Avg. 2.81

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Rio Ave Pass Benfica

Total passes

67487

Avg. 407 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rio Ave

260

Played games

Benfica

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.26

Clean sheets

128

0.43

4.18

1087

Corners

1977

6.59

12.56

3266

Throw-ins

4638

15.46

1.40

365

Offsides

549

1.83

2.58

670

GK saves

683

2.28

Rio Ave

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

586

567

1.89

0.12

0.07

11.07

2879

Fouls

3215

10.72

9.46

2460

Tackles

4200

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rio Ave vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rio Ave vs Benfica on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Primera Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rio Ave vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rio Ave's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Primera Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Primera Liga standings and the Portugal Primera Liga form table to understand exactly where Rio Ave and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Primera Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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