Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – December 17

Real Madrid

W W W W D

1st place in Spanish La Liga

4-1

17/12/2023 16:00

Villarreal

W L W W D

8th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Villarreal on December 17, 2023 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Villarreal preview before placing for you.

Real Madrid are currently 1st with 95 points after 38 matches.
Villarreal sit 8th with 53 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 73%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Real Madrid and Villarreal have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2023-12-17

Real Madrid vs Villarreal - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Villarreal

2023-12-17 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 17/12/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

08/04/2023 15:00

Real Madrid

2 - 3

Villarreal

SPA D1

19/01/2023 16:00

Villarreal

2 - 3

Real Madrid

SPA CUP

07/01/2023 11:15

Villarreal

2 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

12/02/2022 11:15

Villarreal

0 - 0

Real Madrid

SPA D1

25/09/2021 15:00

Real Madrid

0 - 0

Villarreal

SPA D1

22/05/2021 11:59

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Villarreal

SPA D1

Real Madrid

33%

Draw

33%

Villarreal

33%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

09/12/2023 11:15

Real Betis 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

02/12/2023 13:30

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Granada CF SPA D1

29/11/2023 16:00

Real Madrid 4 - 2 Napoli UEFA CL

26/11/2023 13:30

Cadiz 0 - 3 Real Madrid SPA D1

11/11/2023 16:00

Real Madrid 5 - 1 Valencia SPA D1

08/11/2023 16:00

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Sporting Braga UEFA CL

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches Villarreal

09/12/2023 13:30

Villarreal 0 - 3 Real Sociedad SPA D1

06/12/2023 16:00

Villarreal 0 - 0 Maccabi Haifa UEFA EL

03/12/2023 13:30

Sevilla 1 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

30/11/2023 16:00

Villarreal 3 - 2 Panathinaikos UEFA EL

26/11/2023 09:00

Villarreal 3 - 1 Osasuna SPA D1

22/11/2023 16:00

Zamora CF 1 - 1 Villarreal SPA CUP

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

281

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

219

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

223 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

179 (60%)121 (40%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Villarreal

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)41 4(9%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.09 avg / game

Blocked

1059 total

Avg. 4.25

Villarreal

Total shots

12.46 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 3.14

Real Madrid Pass Villarreal

Total passes

168019

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

114264

Avg. 455 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

300

Played games

Villarreal

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

0.24

5.83

1749

Corners

1373

4.58

15.02

4506

Throw-ins

4295

14.32

1.87

562

Offsides

561

1.87

2.92

875

GK saves

758

2.53

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Villarreal

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

534

627

2.09

0.08

0.10

9.73

2920

Fouls

3173

10.58

12.85

3854

Tackles

3504

11.68

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Villarreal on 17 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Villarreal's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Villarreal sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Spanish La Liga Predictions

Find every upcoming Spanish La Liga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less