Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 March

Real Madrid

W W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

2-1

09/03/2025 11:15

Rayo Vallecano

L W W D W

8th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano on 09 March 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid are currently 2nd with 84 points after 38 matches.
Rayo Vallecano sit 8th with 52 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 74%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Rayo Vallecano have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2025-03-09

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

2025-03-09 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 09/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

14/12/2024 16:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 3

Real Madrid

SPA D1

18/02/2024 09:00

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

05/11/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

0 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

24/05/2023 13:30

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

07/11/2022 16:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

26/02/2022 13:30

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Real Madrid

33%

Draw

50%

Rayo Vallecano

17%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

01/03/2025 13:30

Real Betis 2 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

26/02/2025 16:30

Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA CUP

23/02/2025 11:15

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Girona SPA D1

19/02/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 Manchester City UEFA CL

15/02/2025 11:15

Osasuna 1 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

11/02/2025 16:00

Manchester City 2 - 3 Real Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Rayo Vallecano

01/03/2025 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla SPA D1

22/02/2025 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

17/02/2025 16:00

FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

07/02/2025 16:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Real Valladolid SPA D1

31/01/2025 16:00

Leganes 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

26/01/2025 09:00

Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Girona SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

223 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

146 (49%)154 (51%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Rayo Vallecano

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.09 avg / game

Blocked

1059 total

Avg. 4.25

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

12.81 avg / game

Blocked

724 total

Avg. 3.55

Real Madrid Pass Rayo Vallecano

Total passes

168019

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

91173

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

300

Played games

Rayo Vallecano

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

0.29

5.83

1749

Corners

1471

4.90

15.02

4506

Throw-ins

4766

15.89

1.87

562

Offsides

586

1.95

2.92

875

GK saves

726

2.42

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Rayo Vallecano

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

534

728

2.43

0.08

0.12

9.73

2920

Fouls

3792

12.64

12.85

3854

Tackles

3257

10.86

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano on 09 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Rayo Vallecano's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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