Real Madrid vs Benfica: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 25 February

Real Madrid

L W W W W

9th place in Group A

2-1

25/02/2026 16:00

Benfica

W L W W D

24th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Real Madrid vs Benfica on 25 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Real Madrid vs Benfica preview before placing your bet.

Real Madrid are currently 9th with 15 points after 8 matches.
Benfica sit 24th with 9 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 65%.
Head-to-head history favors Benfica, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Real Madrid have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-25

Real Madrid vs Benfica - Prediction & Odds

Real Madrid

Benfica

2026-02-25 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 25/02/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

17/02/2026 16:00

Benfica

0 - 1

Real Madrid

UEFA CL

28/01/2026 16:00

Benfica

4 - 2

Real Madrid

UEFA CL

27/07/2012 14:00

Benfica

5 - 2

Real Madrid

Eusebio Cup

Real Madrid

33%

Draw

Benfica

67%

Real Madrid Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 13:30

Osasuna 2 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

17/02/2026 16:00

Benfica 0 - 1 Real Madrid UEFA CL

14/02/2026 16:00

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad SPA D1

08/02/2026 16:00

Valencia 0 - 2 Real Madrid SPA D1

01/02/2026 09:00

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Benfica 4 - 2 Real Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Benfica

21/02/2026 14:00

Benfica 3 - 0 AVS Futebol SAD POR D1

17/02/2026 16:00

Benfica 0 - 1 Real Madrid UEFA CL

13/02/2026 14:30

Santa Clara 1 - 2 Benfica POR D1

08/02/2026 16:30

Benfica 2 - 1 Alverca POR D1

01/02/2026 16:30

CD Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica POR D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Benfica 4 - 2 Real Madrid UEFA CL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

363

Avg. per game

1.21

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

341

Avg. per game

1.14

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

223 (74%)77 (26%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

204 (68%)96 (32%)

Real Madrid

Recent matches

Benfica

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Real Madrid

Benfica

Shots

Real Madrid

Total shots

16.09 avg / game

Blocked

1059 total

Avg. 4.25

Benfica

Total shots

15.17 avg / game

Blocked

928 total

Avg. 4.14

Real Madrid Pass Benfica

Total passes

168019

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

89%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

127763

Avg. 505 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Real Madrid

300

Played games

Benfica

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

110

Clean sheets

128

0.43

5.83

1749

Corners

1977

6.59

15.02

4506

Throw-ins

4638

15.46

1.87

562

Offsides

549

1.83

2.92

875

GK saves

683

2.28

Real Madrid

DISCIPLINARY

Benfica

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.78

534

567

1.89

0.08

0.07

9.73

2920

Fouls

3215

10.72

12.85

3854

Tackles

4200

14.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Real Madrid vs Benfica on 25 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Real Madrid vs Benfica Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Real Madrid's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Benfica's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Real Madrid and Benfica sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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