Reading vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 January

Reading

L D W D L

17th place in England League 1

1-0

23/01/2024 16:00

Derby County

W D D W W

2nd place in England League 1

England League 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Reading vs Derby County on 23 January 2024 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Reading vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Reading are currently 17th with 53 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 2nd with 92 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Reading, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2024-01-23

Reading vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Reading

Derby County

2024-01-23 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portsmouth	97	46	28	13	5	78	41	37
02 Derby County	92	46	28	8	10	78	37	41
03 Bolton Wanderers	87	46	25	12	9	86	51	35
04 Peterborough United	84	46	25	9	12	89	61	28
05 Oxford United	77	46	22	11	13	79	56	23
06 Barnsley	76	46	21	13	12	82	64	18
07 Lincoln City	74	46	20	14	12	65	40	25
08 Blackpool	73	46	21	10	15	65	48	17
09 Stevenage Borough	71	46	19	14	13	57	46	11
10 Wycombe Wanderers	65	46	17	14	15	60	55	5
11 Leyton Orient	65	46	18	11	17	53	55	-2
12 Wigan Athletic	62	46	20	10	16	63	56	7
13 Exeter City	61	46	17	10	19	46	61	-15
14 Northampton Town	60	46	17	9	20	57	66	-9
15 Bristol Rovers	57	46	16	9	21	52	68	-16
16 Charlton Athletic	53	46	11	20	15	64	65	-1
17 Reading	53	46	16	11	19	68	70	-2
18 Cambridge United	48	46	12	12	22	39	61	-22
19 Shrewsbury Town	48	46	13	9	24	35	67	-32
20 Burton Albion	46	46	12	10	24	39	67	-28
21 Cheltenham Town	44	46	12	8	26	41	65	-24
22 Fleetwood Town	43	46	10	13	23	49	72	-23
23 Port Vale	41	46	10	11	25	41	74	-33
24 Carlisle United	30	46	7	9	30	41	81	-40

Head To Head

03/01/2022 11:00

Reading

2 - 2

Derby County

ENG LCH

29/09/2021 14:45

Derby County

1 - 0

Reading

ENG LCH

05/04/2021 10:00

Reading

3 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

12/09/2020 10:00

Derby County

0 - 2

Reading

ENG LCH

27/06/2020 08:00

Derby County

2 - 1

Reading

ENG LCH

21/12/2019 11:00

Reading

3 - 0

Derby County

ENG LCH

Reading

50%

Draw

17%

Derby County

33%

Reading Last 6 matches

20/01/2024 11:00

Wigan Athletic 1 - 0 Reading ENG L1

09/01/2024 15:00

Brighton U21 0 - 0 Reading ENG JPT

01/01/2024 11:00

Reading 3 - 2 Exeter City ENG L1

29/12/2023 15:45

Cheltenham Town 2 - 2 Reading ENG L1

26/12/2023 11:00

Peterborough United 2 - 2 Reading ENG L1

23/12/2023 11:00

Reading 2 - 0 Wigan Athletic ENG L1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Derby County

20/01/2024 11:00

Lincoln City 0 - 0 Derby County ENG L1

15/01/2024 16:00

Derby County 3 - 2 Burton Albion ENG L1

09/01/2024 15:00

Derby County 0 - 1 Bradford City ENG JPT

06/01/2024 08:30

Fleetwood Town 1 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

01/01/2024 11:00

Derby County 2 - 3 Peterborough United ENG L1

29/12/2023 15:45

Oxford United 2 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England League 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

173

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

183

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

141

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

130 (43%)170 (57%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

139 (46%)161 (54%)

Reading

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Reading

Derby County

Shots

Reading

Total shots

10.81 avg / game

Blocked

692 total

Avg. 3.13

Derby County

Total shots

11.42 avg / game

Blocked

831 total

Avg. 3.48

Reading Pass Derby County

Total passes

103246

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

100963

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Reading

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.32

4.15

1245

Corners

1524

5.08

19.26

5778

Throw-ins

6384

21.28

1.54

463

Offsides

562

1.87

2.66

798

GK saves

684

2.28

Reading

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.70

510

527

1.76

0.04

0.05

10.05

3015

Fouls

2991

9.97

13.36

4009

Tackles

3673

12.24

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Reading vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Reading vs Derby County on 23 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England League 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Reading vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Reading's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England League 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England League 1 standings and the England League 1 form table to understand exactly where Reading and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England League 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More England League 1 Predictions

Find every upcoming England League 1 fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less