RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 January

RB Leipzig

W W W L W

3rd place in German Bundesliga

1-5

17/01/2026 17:30

Bayern Munchen

W W W D W

1st place in German Bundesliga

German Bundesliga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen on 17 January 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen preview before placing your bet.

RB Leipzig are currently 3rd with 65 points after 34 matches.
Bayern Munchen sit 1st with 89 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Bayern Munchen to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Bayern Munchen, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. RB Leipzig have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-01-17

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen - Prediction & Odds

RB Leipzig

Bayern Munchen

2026-01-17 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 17/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Bayern Munchen	89	34	28	5	1	122	36	86
02 Borussia Dortmund	73	34	22	7	5	70	34	36
03 RB Leipzig	65	34	20	5	9	66	47	19
04 VfB Stuttgart	62	34	18	8	8	71	49	22
05 TSG Hoffenheim	61	34	18	7	9	65	52	13
06 Bayer Leverkusen	59	34	17	8	9	68	47	21
07 SC Freiburg	47	34	13	8	13	51	57	-6
08 Eintracht Frankfurt	44	34	11	11	12	61	65	-4
09 Augsburg	43	34	12	7	15	45	61	-16
10 FSV Mainz 05	40	34	10	10	14	44	53	-9
11 Union Berlin	39	34	10	9	15	44	58	-14
12 Borussia Monchengladbach	38	34	9	11	14	42	53	-11
13 Hamburger SV	38	34	9	11	14	40	54	-14
14 FC Koln	32	34	7	11	16	49	63	-14
15 Werder Bremen	32	34	8	8	18	37	60	-23
16 VfL Wolfsburg	29	34	7	8	19	45	69	-24
17 Heidenheimer	26	34	6	8	20	41	72	-31
18 St. Pauli	26	34	6	8	20	29	60	-31

Head To Head

22/08/2025 18:30

Bayern Munchen

6 - 0

RB Leipzig

GER D1

03/05/2025 13:30

RB Leipzig

3 - 3

Bayern Munchen

GER D1

20/12/2024 19:30

Bayern Munchen

5 - 1

RB Leipzig

GER D1

24/02/2024 17:30

Bayern Munchen

2 - 1

RB Leipzig

GER D1

30/09/2023 16:30

RB Leipzig

2 - 2

Bayern Munchen

GER D1

12/08/2023 18:45

Bayern Munchen

0 - 3

RB Leipzig

GER SC

RB Leipzig

17%

Draw

33%

Bayern Munchen

50%

RB Leipzig Last 6 matches

20/12/2025 17:30

RB Leipzig 1 - 3 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

12/12/2025 19:30

Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig GER D1

06/12/2025 17:30

RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt GER D1

02/12/2025 20:00

RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Magdeburg GERC

28/11/2025 19:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 0 - 0 RB Leipzig GER D1

23/11/2025 14:30

RB Leipzig 2 - 0 Werder Bremen GER D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Bayern Munchen

06/01/2026 14:00

Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 5 Bayern Munchen INT CF

21/12/2025 16:30

Heidenheimer 0 - 4 Bayern Munchen GER D1

14/12/2025 16:30

Bayern Munchen 2 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 GER D1

09/12/2025 17:45

Bayern Munchen 3 - 1 Sporting CP UEFA CL

06/12/2025 14:30

VfB Stuttgart 0 - 5 Bayern Munchen GER D1

03/12/2025 19:45

Union Berlin 2 - 3 Bayern Munchen GERC

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues German Bundesliga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

RB Leipzig

Bayern Munchen

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.88

Scored

Avg. per game

1.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

12 (71%)5 (29%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

14 (88%)2 (13%)

RB Leipzig

Recent matches

Bayern Munchen

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(100%)16 0(0%)

Under /Over

(41%)7 10(59%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(88%)14 2(12%)

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(88%)14 2(12%)

/Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(69%)11 5(31%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

RB Leipzig

Bayern Munchen

Shots

RB Leipzig

Total shots

17.35 avg / game

Blocked

68 total

Avg. 4.00

Bayern Munchen

Total shots

21.69 avg / game

Blocked

88 total

Avg. 5.50

RB Leipzig Pass Bayern Munchen

Total passes

8922

Avg. 525 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

Total passes

11433

Avg. 715 / game

Accurate

91%

Ball possession

68%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

RB Leipzig

Played games

Bayern Munchen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.31

5.88

100

Corners

125

7.81

19.76

336

Throw-ins

293

18.31

1.24

Offsides

2.19

2.71

GK saves

1.75

RB Leipzig

DISCIPLINARY

Bayern Munchen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.35

1.38

0.00

0.00

8.12

138

Fouls

137

8.56

9.00

153

Tackles

127

7.94

NEXT MATCHES

Borussia Monchengladbach

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen on 17 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this German Bundesliga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munchen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess RB Leipzig's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bayern Munchen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

German Bundesliga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live German Bundesliga standings and the German Bundesliga form table to understand exactly where RB Leipzig and Bayern Munchen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our German Bundesliga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More German Bundesliga Predictions

Find every upcoming German Bundesliga fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less