Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 09

Rayo Vallecano

D W D D W

8th place in Spanish La Liga

0-0

09/11/2025 11:15

Real Madrid

D W L W W

2nd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid on November 09, 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid preview before placing for you.

Rayo Vallecano are currently 8th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Real Madrid sit 2nd with 86 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Rayo Vallecano have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2025-11-09

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid

2025-11-09 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 09/11/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

09/03/2025 11:15

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

14/12/2024 16:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 3

Real Madrid

SPA D1

18/02/2024 09:00

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Real Madrid

SPA D1

05/11/2023 16:00

Real Madrid

0 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

24/05/2023 13:30

Real Madrid

2 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

07/11/2022 16:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 2

Real Madrid

SPA D1

Rayo Vallecano

17%

Draw

50%

Real Madrid

33%

Rayo Vallecano Last 6 matches

01/11/2025 09:00

Villarreal 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

29/10/2025 16:00

CD Yuncos 1 - 6 Rayo Vallecano SPA CUP

26/10/2025 16:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Alaves SPA D1

23/10/2025 12:45

Hacken 2 - 2 Rayo Vallecano UEFA ECL

19/10/2025 12:30

Levante 0 - 3 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

05/10/2025 12:30

Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Real Madrid

01/11/2025 16:00

Real Madrid 4 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

26/10/2025 11:15

Real Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona SPA D1

22/10/2025 15:00

Real Madrid 1 - 0 Juventus UEFA CL

19/10/2025 15:00

Getafe 0 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

04/10/2025 15:00

Real Madrid 3 - 1 Villarreal SPA D1

30/09/2025 12:45

FC Kairat Almaty 0 - 5 Real Madrid UEFA CL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.26

Scored

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.32

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

8 (42%)11 (58%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

Rayo Vallecano

Recent matches

Real Madrid

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(89%)17 2(11%)

Under /Over

(16%)3 16(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)11 8(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid

Shots

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

16.47 avg / game

Blocked

75 total

Avg. 3.95

Real Madrid

Total shots

18.89 avg / game

Blocked

82 total

Avg. 4.56

Rayo Vallecano Pass Real Madrid

Total passes

7882

Avg. 415 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

11000

Avg. 611 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rayo Vallecano

Played games

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.32

6.63

126

Corners

119

6.26

21.42

407

Throw-ins

286

15.05

2.05

Offsides

2.21

2.89

GK saves

2.05

Rayo Vallecano

DISCIPLINARY

Real Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

1.95

0.16

0.21

12.05

229

Fouls

177

9.32

10.89

207

Tackles

162

8.53

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid on 09 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Real Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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