Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 28

Rayo Vallecano

L W W D W

8th place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

28/09/2024 10:15

Leganes

D D W L W

18th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes on September 28, 2024 (kick-off: 10:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes preview before placing for you.

Rayo Vallecano are currently 8th with 52 points after 38 matches.
Leganes sit 18th with 40 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Rayo Vallecano, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Leganes have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:15

2024-09-28

Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes - Prediction & Odds

Rayo Vallecano

Leganes

2024-09-28 10:15

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	102	39	63
02 Real Madrid	84	38	26	6	6	78	38	40
03 Atletico Madrid	76	38	22	10	6	68	30	38
04 Athletic Bilbao	70	38	19	13	6	54	29	25
05 Villarreal	70	38	20	10	8	71	51	20
06 Real Betis	60	38	16	12	10	57	50	7
07 Celta Vigo	55	38	16	7	15	59	57	2
08 Rayo Vallecano	52	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4
09 Osasuna	52	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4
10 Mallorca	48	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9
11 Real Sociedad	46	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11
12 Valencia	46	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10
13 Getafe	42	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5
14 RCD Espanyol	42	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11
15 Alaves	42	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10
16 Girona	41	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16
17 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13
18 Leganes	40	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17
19 Las Palmas	32	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21
20 Real Valladolid	16	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64

Head To Head

27/07/2022 13:30

Leganes

1 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

INT CF

07/08/2021 13:00

Leganes

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

INT CF

06/06/2021 15:00

Leganes

1 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D2

03/06/2021 15:00

Rayo Vallecano

3 - 0

Leganes

SPA D2

10/05/2021 13:00

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Leganes

SPA D2

02/12/2020 14:00

Leganes

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D2

Rayo Vallecano

50%

Draw

33%

Leganes

17%

Rayo Vallecano Last 6 matches

16/09/2024 15:00

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 1 Osasuna SPA D1

31/08/2024 13:15

RCD Espanyol 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

27/08/2024 15:30

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 2 FC Barcelona SPA D1

24/08/2024 15:30

Getafe 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

18/08/2024 13:00

Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

10/08/2024 10:00

Wolves 0 - 1 Rayo Vallecano INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Leganes

19/09/2024 13:00

Leganes 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

13/09/2024 15:00

Real Betis 2 - 0 Leganes SPA D1

04/09/2024 13:00

Fuenlabrada 0 - 3 Leganes INT CF

31/08/2024 15:30

Leganes 0 - 1 Mallorca SPA D1

28/08/2024 13:00

Real Valladolid 0 - 0 Leganes SPA D1

25/08/2024 13:00

Leganes 2 - 1 Las Palmas SPA D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

198

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

177

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

146 (49%)154 (51%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

144 (48%)156 (52%)

Rayo Vallecano

Recent matches

Leganes

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rayo Vallecano

Leganes

Shots

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

12.81 avg / game

Blocked

724 total

Avg. 3.55

Leganes

Total shots

10.09 avg / game

Blocked

425 total

Avg. 2.53

Rayo Vallecano Pass Leganes

Total passes

91173

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

81826

Avg. 392 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rayo Vallecano

300

Played games

Leganes

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

105

0.35

4.90

1471

Corners

1201

4.00

15.89

4766

Throw-ins

2288

7.63

1.95

586

Offsides

471

1.57

2.42

726

GK saves

645

2.15

Rayo Vallecano

DISCIPLINARY

Leganes

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.43

728

658

2.19

0.12

0.09

12.64

3792

Fouls

3447

11.49

10.86

3257

Tackles

2594

8.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes on 28 September 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Leganes Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leganes's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Leganes sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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