Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 April

Rayo Vallecano

W L L L W

12th place in Spanish La Liga

1-2

09/04/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid

W L W D W

3rd place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid on 09 April 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Rayo Vallecano are currently 12th with 49 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 3rd with 77 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Rayo Vallecano have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-04-09

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

2023-04-09 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 09/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	88	38	28	4	6	70	20	50
02 Real Madrid	78	38	24	6	8	75	36	39
03 Atletico Madrid	77	38	23	8	7	70	33	37
04 Real Sociedad	71	38	21	8	9	51	35	16
05 Villarreal	64	38	19	7	12	59	40	19
06 Real Betis	60	38	17	9	12	46	41	5
07 Osasuna	53	38	15	8	15	37	42	-5
08 Athletic Bilbao	51	38	14	9	15	47	43	4
09 Mallorca	50	38	14	8	16	37	43	-6
10 Girona	49	38	13	10	15	58	55	3
11 Sevilla	49	38	13	10	15	47	54	-7
12 Rayo Vallecano	49	38	13	10	15	45	53	-8
13 Celta Vigo	43	38	11	10	17	43	53	-10
14 Valencia	42	38	11	9	18	42	45	-3
15 Getafe	42	38	10	12	16	34	45	-11
16 Cadiz	42	38	10	12	16	30	53	-23
17 Almeria	41	38	11	8	19	49	65	-16
18 Real Valladolid	40	38	11	7	20	33	63	-30
19 RCD Espanyol	37	38	8	13	17	52	69	-17
20 Elche	25	38	5	10	23	30	67	-37

Head To Head

18/10/2022 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

19/03/2022 16:00

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

02/01/2022 11:15

Atletico Madrid

2 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

16/02/2019 11:15

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

25/08/2018 14:15

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

30/04/2016 12:15

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

Rayo Vallecano

Draw

17%

Atletico Madrid

83%

Rayo Vallecano Last 6 matches

18/03/2023 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 2 - 2 Girona SPA D1

11/03/2023 13:30

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

05/03/2023 13:30

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

25/02/2023 11:15

Cadiz 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

19/02/2023 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla SPA D1

12/02/2023 09:00

Getafe 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

18/03/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia SPA D1

13/03/2023 16:00

Girona 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

04/03/2023 16:00

Atletico Madrid 6 - 1 Sevilla SPA D1

25/02/2023 13:30

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

19/02/2023 13:30

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

12/02/2023 11:15

Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

196

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

311

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

173

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

145 (48%)155 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

194 (65%)106 (35%)

Rayo Vallecano

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

724 total

Avg. 3.55

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

12.89 avg / game

Blocked

743 total

Avg. 2.93

Rayo Vallecano Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

91173

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

134211

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rayo Vallecano

300

Played games

Atletico Madrid

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.33

4.91

1473

Corners

1535

5.12

15.88

4765

Throw-ins

4994

16.65

1.96

587

Offsides

653

2.18

2.43

728

GK saves

759

2.53

Rayo Vallecano

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.42

725

644

2.15

0.12

0.13

12.71

3813

Fouls

3320

11.07

10.86

3257

Tackles

4100

13.67

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid on 09 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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