Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 February

Rayo Vallecano

D W D D W

8th place in Spanish La Liga

3-0

15/02/2026 11:15

Atletico Madrid

W W L W W

4th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid on 15 February 2026 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Rayo Vallecano are currently 8th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 69 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Rayo Vallecano have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:15

2026-02-15

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

2026-02-15 11:15

STANDINGS UP TO 15/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

24/09/2025 15:30

Atletico Madrid

3 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

06/08/2025 15:00

Atletico Madrid

1 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

INT CF

24/04/2025 15:30

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

22/09/2024 15:00

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

31/01/2024 16:00

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

28/08/2023 15:30

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 7

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Rayo Vallecano

Draw

33%

Atletico Madrid

67%

Rayo Vallecano Last 6 matches

01/02/2026 09:00

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

24/01/2026 09:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna SPA D1

18/01/2026 13:30

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

14/01/2026 16:00

Alaves 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA CUP

11/01/2026 09:00

Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Mallorca SPA D1

06/01/2026 14:00

Granada CF 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano SPA CUP

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

05/02/2026 16:00

Real Betis 0 - 5 Atletico Madrid SPA CUP

31/01/2026 13:30

Levante 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Atletico Madrid 1 - 2 Bodo Glimt UEFA CL

25/01/2026 09:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Mallorca SPA D1

21/01/2026 13:45

Galatasaray 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

18/01/2026 11:15

Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Alaves SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored

Avg. per game

1.26

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

12 (63%)7 (37%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

12 (63%)7 (37%)

Rayo Vallecano

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)13 6(32%)

Under /Over

(16%)3 16(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

Under /Over

(26%)5 14(74%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)9 10(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

16.47 avg / game

Blocked

75 total

Avg. 3.95

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

15.79 avg / game

Blocked

52 total

Avg. 2.74

Rayo Vallecano Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

7882

Avg. 415 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

55%

Total passes

9995

Avg. 526 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rayo Vallecano

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.42

6.63

126

Corners

148

7.79

21.42

407

Throw-ins

365

19.21

2.05

Offsides

2.16

2.89

GK saves

2.00

Rayo Vallecano

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

1.89

0.16

0.05

12.05

229

Fouls

192

10.11

10.89

207

Tackles

207

10.89

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid on 15 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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