Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Rayo Vallecano

D W D D W

8th place in Spanish La Liga

1-1

28/02/2026 09:00

Athletic Bilbao

L W L L D

12th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao preview before placing your bet.

Rayo Vallecano are currently 8th with 50 points after 38 matches.
Athletic Bilbao sit 12th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Athletic Bilbao, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Rayo Vallecano have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2026-02-28

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao - Prediction & Odds

Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao

2026-02-28 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 FC Barcelona	94	38	31	1	6	95	36	59
02 Real Madrid	86	38	27	5	6	77	35	42
03 Villarreal	72	38	22	6	10	72	46	26
04 Atletico Madrid	69	38	21	6	11	62	44	18
05 Real Betis	60	38	15	15	8	59	48	11
06 Celta Vigo	54	38	14	12	12	53	48	5
07 Getafe	51	38	15	6	17	32	38	-6
08 Rayo Vallecano	50	38	12	14	12	41	44	-3
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	46	55	-9
10 Real Sociedad	46	38	11	13	14	59	61	-2
11 RCD Espanyol	46	38	12	10	16	43	55	-12
12 Athletic Bilbao	45	38	13	6	19	43	58	-15
13 Sevilla	43	38	12	7	19	46	60	-14
14 Alaves	43	38	11	10	17	44	56	-12
15 Elche	43	38	10	13	15	49	57	-8
16 Levante	42	38	11	9	18	47	61	-14
17 Osasuna	42	38	11	9	18	44	50	-6
18 Mallorca	42	38	11	9	18	47	57	-10
19 Girona	41	38	9	14	15	39	55	-16
20 Real Oviedo	29	38	6	11	21	26	60	-34

Head To Head

25/08/2025 13:30

Athletic Bilbao

1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

13/04/2025 15:00

Athletic Bilbao

3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

01/12/2024 13:30

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 2

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

25/05/2024 12:30

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

02/12/2023 11:15

Athletic Bilbao

4 - 0

Rayo Vallecano

SPA D1

05/03/2023 13:30

Rayo Vallecano

0 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

SPA D1

Rayo Vallecano

Draw

17%

Athletic Bilbao

83%

Rayo Vallecano Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 11:15

Real Betis 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

15/02/2026 11:15

Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

01/02/2026 09:00

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

24/01/2026 09:00

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna SPA D1

18/01/2026 13:30

Celta Vigo 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA D1

14/01/2026 16:00

Alaves 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano SPA CUP

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Athletic Bilbao

20/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Elche SPA D1

15/02/2026 09:00

Real Oviedo 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA D1

11/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Real Sociedad SPA CUP

08/02/2026 11:15

Athletic Bilbao 4 - 2 Levante SPA D1

04/02/2026 16:00

Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao SPA CUP

01/02/2026 16:00

Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Real Sociedad SPA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

196

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

208

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

193

Avg. per game

0.64

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

145 (48%)155 (52%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

144 (48%)156 (52%)

Rayo Vallecano

Recent matches

Athletic Bilbao

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao

Shots

Rayo Vallecano

Total shots

12.80 avg / game

Blocked

724 total

Avg. 3.55

Athletic Bilbao

Total shots

13.05 avg / game

Blocked

747 total

Avg. 3.47

Rayo Vallecano Pass Athletic Bilbao

Total passes

91173

Avg. 422 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

102057

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Rayo Vallecano

300

Played games

Athletic Bilbao

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

104

0.35

4.91

1473

Corners

1674

5.58

15.88

4765

Throw-ins

5210

17.37

1.96

587

Offsides

516

1.72

2.43

728

GK saves

645

2.15

Rayo Vallecano

DISCIPLINARY

Athletic Bilbao

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.42

725

557

1.86

0.12

0.09

12.71

3813

Fouls

3511

11.70

10.86

3257

Tackles

3312

11.04

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Rayo Vallecano's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Athletic Bilbao's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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