Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 26

Qarabag

W L W D W

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

0-0

26/10/2025 14:30

Samaxı FC

L W L L W

8th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on October 26, 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Samaxı FC preview before placing for you.

Qarabag are currently 2nd with 69 points after 33 matches.
Samaxı FC sit 8th with 38 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 76%.
Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Samaxı FC have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-10-26

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

2025-10-26 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

24/05/2025 13:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

17/01/2025 15:00

Qarabag

3 - 2

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

19/12/2024 10:00

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

27/10/2024 15:00

Qarabag

3 - 0

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

02/04/2023 11:30

Samaxı FC

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

31/01/2023 12:00

Qarabag

3 - 1

Samaxı FC

AZE D1

Qarabag

100%

Draw

Samaxı FC

Qarabag Last 6 matches

17/10/2025 15:00

Turan Tovuz 1 - 2 Qarabag AZE D1

04/10/2025 13:00

Qarabag 1 - 0 FK Kapaz Ganca AZE D1

01/10/2025 16:45

Qarabag 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen UEFA CL

26/09/2025 15:00

Qarabag 2 - 0 Qabala AZE D1

21/09/2025 13:00

Araz Nakhchivan 0 - 5 Qarabag AZE D1

16/09/2025 19:00

Benfica 2 - 3 Qarabag UEFA CL

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Samaxı FC

17/10/2025 10:30

Samaxı FC 1 - 4 FK Kapaz Ganca AZE D1

05/10/2025 13:30

Qabala 0 - 1 Samaxı FC AZE D1

27/09/2025 11:30

Samaxı FC 1 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

19/09/2025 14:30

Zira FK 2 - 1 Samaxı FC AZE D1

14/09/2025 12:30

Samaxı FC 3 - 0 Karvan Evlakh AZE D1

29/08/2025 14:30

Standard Sumgayit 1 - 1 Samaxı FC AZE D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

121

Avg. per game

0.57

Conceded

162

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

87 (41%)127 (59%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Samaxı FC

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Samaxı FC

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Samaxı FC

Total shots

9.07 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag Pass Samaxı FC

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

300

Played games

Samaxı FC

214

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

122

Clean sheets

0.28

6.20

1859

Corners

806

3.77

2.88

864

Throw-ins

0.00

0.62

185

Offsides

0.05

0.81

243

GK saves

0.09

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Samaxı FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

483

399

1.86

0.05

0.07

3.19

957

Fouls

0.43

2.59

777

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 26 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samaxı FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Samaxı FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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