Qarabag vs Samaxı FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Prediction Match Centre
Qarabag
No standing data
1
3-1
Qarabag
Win Probability 78%
04/03/2026 11:00
Samaxı FC
No standing data
Azerbaijan Cup
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 04 March 2026 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Samaxı FC preview before placing your bet.

  • Qarabag will face Samaxı FC in Azerbaijan Cup on March 4, 2026 at 11:00.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.14.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:00

2026-03-04

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag
Qarabag
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
2026-03-04 11:00
78
14
8
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.14
FT
3-1 1-1
-
weather
7°C
STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Qarabag and Samaxı FC in the Azerbaijan Cup football standings for the 2025-2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
10/02/2026 06:50
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
1 - 2
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
05/02/2026 06:30
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
2 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE CUP
26/10/2025 10:30
Qarabag Qarabag
0 - 0
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
24/05/2025 09:00
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
17/01/2025 11:00
Qarabag Qarabag
3 - 2
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
AZE D1
19/12/2024 06:00
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
0 - 1
Qarabag Qarabag
AZE D1
Samaxı FC
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Qarabag
3
50%
Qarabag Qarabag Last 6 matches
01/03/2026 11:00
Qarabag 3 - 3 Sabah FK Baku
AZE D1
24/02/2026 16:00
Newcastle United 3 - 2 Qarabag
UEFA CL
18/02/2026 13:45
Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle United
UEFA CL
14/02/2026 06:30
Mil Mugan 0 - 1 Qarabag
AZE D1
10/02/2026 06:50
Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag
AZE D1
05/02/2026 06:30
Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE CUP
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
28/02/2026 06:30
Samaxı FC 2 - 2 FC Neftci Baku
AZE D1
22/02/2026 06:30
Mil Mugan 0 - 0 Samaxı FC
AZE D1
16/02/2026 06:30
Samaxı FC 0 - 0 Turan Tovuz
AZE D1
10/02/2026 06:50
Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag
AZE D1
05/02/2026 06:30
Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag
AZE CUP
31/01/2026 06:30
FK Kapaz Ganca 0 - 2 Samaxı FC
AZE D1
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Azerbaijan Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Qarabag
Qarabag
54
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
37
Goals
Scored
65
Avg. per game
1.20
Conceded
36
Avg. per game
0.67
Scored
19
Avg. per game
0.51
Conceded
29
Avg. per game
0.78
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 54 matches
YesNo
36 (67%)18 (33%)
In last 54 matches
NoYes
14 (38%)23 (62%)
Qarabag

Qarabag

Recent matches

Samaxı FC

Samaxı FC

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(65%)24 13(35%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)10 27(73%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(43%)16 21(57%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(43%)16 21(57%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Qarabag Qarabag
Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
Shots
Qarabag
Qarabag
Total shots
13.28 avg / game
Blocked
36 total
Avg. 2.77
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Total shots
8.67 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Qarabag Qarabag Pass Samaxı FC Samaxı FC
Total passes
4490
Avg. 345 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
44%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
5593
Avg. 103.57 / game
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
3232
Avg. 87.35 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Qarabag
Qarabag
3529
Avg. 65.35 / game
 Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
1735
Avg. 46.89 / game
OTHERS
Qarabag
Qarabag
54
Played games
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
37
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.35
19
Clean sheets
15
0.41
5.93
320
Corners
136
3.68
3.56
192
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.52
28
Offsides
3
0.08
1.04
56
GK saves
9
0.24
Qarabag
Qarabag
DISCIPLINARY
Samaxı FC
Samaxı FC
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.37
74
Yellow card
73
1.97
0.04
2
Red card
2
0.05
2.81
152
Fouls
55
1.49
1.93
104
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
07/16
Vestri Vestri
VS
Qarabag Qarabag
UEF
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Samaxı FC on 04 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Samaxı FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Samaxı FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Cup standings and the Azerbaijan Cup form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Samaxı FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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