Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 23

Qarabag

D L W W W

1st place in Azerbaijan Premier League

3-1

23/01/2024 11:00

Araz Nakhchivan

L W L L L

8th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan on January 23, 2024 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan preview before placing for you.

Qarabag are currently 1st with 83 points after 36 matches.
Araz Nakhchivan sit 8th with 36 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 77%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Qarabag and Araz Nakhchivan have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

11:00

2024-01-23

Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Araz Nakhchivan

2024-01-23 11:00

STANDINGS UP TO 23/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Qarabag	83	36	26	5	5	97	37	60
02 Zira FK	58	36	16	10	10	33	22	11
03 Sabah FK Baku	58	36	17	7	12	50	40	10
04 Standard Sumgayit	57	36	15	12	9	37	38	-1
05 FC Neftci Baku	56	36	16	8	12	51	40	11
06 Turan Tovuz	48	36	13	9	14	53	53	0
07 Sabail	42	36	11	9	16	50	60	-10
08 Araz Nakhchivan	36	36	9	9	18	31	50	-19
09 FK Kapaz Ganca	35	36	9	8	19	39	67	-28
10 Qabala	26	36	7	5	24	30	64	-34

Head To Head

30/10/2023 11:00

Araz Nakhchivan

2 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

20/08/2023 10:00

Qarabag

2 - 1

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

Qarabag

50%

Draw

Araz Nakhchivan

50%

Qarabag Last 6 matches

24/12/2023 10:30

Zira FK 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

21/12/2023 06:00

Qarabag 1 - 0 FK MOIK Baku AZE CUP

18/12/2023 11:59

Qarabag 2 - 0 FC Neftci Baku AZE D1

14/12/2023 13:45

Qarabag 2 - 1 Hacken UEFA EL

08/12/2023 11:30

Standard Sumgayit 1 - 6 Qarabag AZE D1

04/12/2023 11:30

Qarabag 3 - 0 Qabala AZE D1

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Last 6 matches Araz Nakhchivan

24/12/2023 04:00

Turan Tovuz 3 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

19/12/2023 05:00

Irəvan FK 2 - 8 Araz Nakhchivan AZE CUP

15/12/2023 07:00

Araz Nakhchivan 2 - 0 Sabah FK Baku AZE D1

09/12/2023 09:00

Zira FK 0 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

02/12/2023 08:00

Araz Nakhchivan 1 - 1 Sabail AZE D1

29/11/2023 07:00

Kur-Araz FC 1 - 6 Araz Nakhchivan AZE CUP

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

116

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

106

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

84 (55%)68 (45%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Araz Nakhchivan

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Araz Nakhchivan

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Araz Nakhchivan

Total shots

9.26 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 1.50

Qarabag Pass Araz Nakhchivan

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

Avg. 0 / game

Accurate

100%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

300

Played games

Araz Nakhchivan

152

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

122

Clean sheets

0.34

6.20

1859

Corners

476

3.13

2.88

864

Throw-ins

0.00

0.62

185

Offsides

0.07

0.81

243

GK saves

0.11

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Araz Nakhchivan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

483

262

1.72

0.05

0.07

3.19

957

Fouls

0.39

2.59

777

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan on 23 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Araz Nakhchivan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Araz Nakhchivan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Azerbaijan Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Azerbaijan Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less