Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 11

Qarabag

W D W W W

1st place in Azerbaijan Premier League

2-0

11/05/2025 12:00

Araz Nakhchivan

D D D L W

3rd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan on May 11, 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan preview before placing for you.

Qarabag are currently 1st with 89 points after 36 matches.
Araz Nakhchivan sit 3rd with 58 points from 36 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Araz Nakhchivan have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-05-11

Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan - Prediction & Odds

Qarabag

Araz Nakhchivan

2025-05-11 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/05/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Qarabag	89	36	28	5	3	86	19	67
02 Zira FK	74	36	23	5	8	59	27	32
03 Araz Nakhchivan	58	36	15	13	8	34	29	5
04 Turan Tovuz	55	36	14	13	9	45	39	6
05 Sabah FK Baku	48	36	10	18	8	50	46	4
06 FC Neftci Baku	43	36	10	13	13	39	49	-10
07 Samaxı FC	36	36	9	9	18	32	46	-14
08 Standard Sumgayit	33	36	9	6	21	31	53	-22
09 FK Kapaz Ganca	32	36	8	8	20	28	65	-37
10 Sabail	22	36	4	10	22	28	59	-31

Head To Head

23/04/2025 09:00

Qarabag

3 - 0

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE CUP

02/04/2025 09:00

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 0

Qarabag

AZE CUP

08/03/2025 11:00

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 3

Qarabag

AZE D1

22/12/2024 08:30

Qarabag

2 - 0

Araz Nakhchivan

AZE D1

02/08/2024 11:59

Araz Nakhchivan

1 - 4

Qarabag

AZE D1

26/05/2024 11:30

Araz Nakhchivan

2 - 2

Qarabag

AZE D1

Qarabag

67%

Draw

17%

Araz Nakhchivan

17%

Qarabag Last 6 matches

27/04/2025 12:00

Sabah FK Baku 1 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

23/04/2025 09:00

Qarabag 3 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE CUP

19/04/2025 12:00

Qarabag 3 - 0 FC Neftci Baku AZE D1

11/04/2025 11:00

Sabail 1 - 4 Qarabag AZE D1

06/04/2025 11:30

Qarabag 1 - 0 Zira FK AZE D1

02/04/2025 09:00

Araz Nakhchivan 1 - 0 Qarabag AZE CUP

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Araz Nakhchivan

27/04/2025 09:30

Sabail 1 - 1 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

23/04/2025 09:00

Qarabag 3 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE CUP

18/04/2025 11:00

Araz Nakhchivan 1 - 1 Turan Tovuz AZE D1

13/04/2025 09:00

FK Kapaz Ganca 0 - 0 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

07/04/2025 10:00

Araz Nakhchivan 2 - 0 Standard Sumgayit AZE D1

02/04/2025 09:00

Araz Nakhchivan 1 - 0 Qarabag AZE CUP

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored

116

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

106

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

203 (68%)97 (32%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

84 (55%)68 (45%)

Qarabag

Recent matches

Araz Nakhchivan

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Qarabag

Araz Nakhchivan

Shots

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Araz Nakhchivan

Total shots

9.26 avg / game

Blocked

6 total

Avg. 1.50

Qarabag Pass Araz Nakhchivan

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

Total passes

Avg. 0 / game

Accurate

100%

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Qarabag

300

Played games

Araz Nakhchivan

152

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

122

Clean sheets

0.34

6.20

1859

Corners

476

3.13

2.88

864

Throw-ins

0.00

0.62

185

Offsides

0.07

0.81

243

GK saves

0.11

Qarabag

DISCIPLINARY

Araz Nakhchivan

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.61

483

262

1.72

0.05

0.07

3.19

957

Fouls

0.39

2.59

777

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan on 11 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Qarabag vs Araz Nakhchivan Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Qarabag's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Araz Nakhchivan's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Qarabag and Araz Nakhchivan sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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