Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – April 16

Pumas U.N.A.M.

D W D L L

16th place in Primera Division de Mexico

3-1

16/04/2023 14:00

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca on April 16, 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca preview before placing for you.

Pumas U.N.A.M. are currently 16th with 14 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Pumas U.N.A.M. and Toluca have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-04-16

Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Toluca

2023-04-16 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

13/12/2022 21:05

Pumas U.N.A.M.

1 - 1

Toluca

MGNP

10/09/2022 22:05

Toluca

2 - 2

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

10/01/2022 23:00

Pumas U.N.A.M.

5 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

21/11/2021 19:00

Toluca

1 - 2

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

29/08/2021 13:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

14/02/2021 14:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Pumas U.N.A.M.

MEX D1

Pumas U.N.A.M.

33%

Draw

33%

Toluca

33%

Pumas U.N.A.M. Last 6 matches

02/04/2023 21:05

Queretaro FC 1 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

19/03/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 0 - 2 Pachuca MEX D1

11/03/2023 21:05

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

05/03/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 4 Puebla MEX D1

24/02/2023 23:10

Mazatlan FC 1 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

18/02/2023 23:05

Pumas U.N.A.M. 1 - 2 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Toluca

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

02/04/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF

17/03/2023 23:05

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

12/03/2023 14:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

05/03/2023 21:05

Queretaro FC 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

221

Avg. per game

0.78

Conceded

188

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored

261

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 284 matches

YesNo

155 (55%)129 (45%)

In last 284 matches

NoYes

165 (59%)113 (41%)

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Toluca

Shots

Pumas U.N.A.M.

Total shots

11.96 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.12

Toluca

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

470 total

Avg. 3.13

Pumas U.N.A.M. Pass Toluca

Total passes

83299

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

94768

Avg. 433 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pumas U.N.A.M.

284

Played games

Toluca

278

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.24

4.23

1201

Corners

1173

4.22

7.06

2006

Throw-ins

2102

7.56

1.16

330

Offsides

364

1.31

2.45

696

GK saves

678

2.44

Pumas U.N.A.M.

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

591

513

1.85

0.14

0.10

10.87

3087

Fouls

2760

9.93

10.64

3021

Tackles

2778

9.99

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca on 16 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pumas U.N.A.M. vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pumas U.N.A.M.'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Pumas U.N.A.M. and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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