Puebla vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 March

Puebla

L L D L L

17th place in Autumn

0-3

14/03/2025 23:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 14 March 2025 (kick-off: 23:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Puebla vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Puebla are currently 17th with 9 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 55%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Puebla have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:00

2025-03-14

Puebla vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Puebla

Toluca

2025-03-14 23:00

STANDINGS UP TO 14/03/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

30/12/2024 12:00

Toluca

4 - 1

Puebla

INT CF

22/10/2024 23:05

Toluca

5 - 0

Puebla

MEX D1

26/01/2024 21:00

Puebla

1 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

31/10/2023 21:00

Toluca

0 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

02/08/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

Puebla

17%

Draw

33%

Toluca

50%

Puebla Last 6 matches

07/03/2025 23:00

Puebla 1 - 3 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

02/03/2025 18:00

Queretaro FC 2 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

26/02/2025 21:00

Pachuca 2 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

21/02/2025 23:10

Puebla 2 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

15/02/2025 19:00

Atlas 3 - 2 Puebla MEX D1

07/02/2025 23:00

Puebla 1 - 2 Club America MEX D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Toluca

08/03/2025 19:00

Toluca 5 - 2 Necaxa MEX D1

01/03/2025 19:00

Club America 3 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

26/02/2025 23:00

Toluca 5 - 0 Queretaro FC MEX D1

22/02/2025 19:00

FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca MEX D1

15/02/2025 23:10

Toluca 2 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

08/02/2025 21:00

Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

161

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

260

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

110 (45%)132 (55%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

164 (59%)113 (41%)

Puebla

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Puebla

Toluca

Shots

Puebla

Total shots

11.45 avg / game

Blocked

394 total

Avg. 2.81

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Puebla Pass Toluca

Total passes

62681

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Puebla

242

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.19

Clean sheets

0.25

3.84

930

Corners

1167

4.21

6.13

1484

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.10

266

Offsides

363

1.31

2.89

699

GK saves

677

2.44

Puebla

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

504

512

1.85

0.16

0.10

11.70

2832

Fouls

2745

9.91

10.15

2456

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 14 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Puebla vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Puebla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Puebla and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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