Puebla vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 April

Puebla
DDLWW
8th place in Primera Division de Mexico
2
1-2
FT
07/04/2023 21:05
Toluca
LDLDD
6th place in Primera Division de Mexico
Primera Division de Mexico
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 07 April 2023 (kick-off: 21:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Puebla vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

  • Puebla are currently 8th with 22 points after 17 matches.
  • Toluca sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 44%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Puebla, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
21:05

2023-04-07

Puebla vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Puebla
Puebla
Toluca
Toluca
2023-04-07 21:05
31
25
44
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
2.03
FT
1-2 0-2
-
weather
25℃～26℃
STANDINGS UP TO 07/04/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Club America Club America
38 17 12 2 3 38 17 21
02 Monterrey Monterrey
35 17 10 5 2 29 13 16
03 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
33 17 10 3 4 38 21 17
04 Pachuca Pachuca
32 17 9 5 3 28 15 13
05 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
30 17 9 3 5 24 14 10
06 Toluca Toluca
27 17 7 6 4 27 23 4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul CDSyC Cruz Azul
24 17 7 3 7 26 34 -8
08 Puebla Puebla
22 17 4 10 3 25 23 2
09 Chivas Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara
22 17 5 7 5 19 17 2
10 Club Leon Club Leon
22 17 6 4 7 25 29 -4
11 FC Juarez FC Juarez
19 17 4 7 6 17 18 -1
12 Necaxa Necaxa
19 17 5 4 8 19 26 -7
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
18 17 4 6 7 15 23 -8
14 Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
17 17 3 8 6 17 24 -7
15 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
17 17 4 5 8 18 30 -12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M. Pumas U.N.A.M.
14 17 2 8 7 21 31 -10
17 Atlas Atlas
13 17 3 4 10 16 27 -11
18 Queretaro FC Queretaro FC
9 17 1 6 10 18 35 -17
Head To Head
02/08/2022 21:00
Toluca Toluca
1 - 1
Puebla Puebla
MEX D1
03/04/2022 13:00
Toluca Toluca
2 - 1
Puebla Puebla
MEX D1
05/11/2021 21:00
Puebla Puebla
1 - 0
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
21/03/2021 14:00
Toluca Toluca
4 - 4
Puebla Puebla
MEX D1
28/08/2020 20:30
Puebla Puebla
4 - 1
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
21/02/2020 23:00
Puebla Puebla
2 - 0
Toluca Toluca
MEX D1
Puebla
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
Toluca
1
17%
Puebla Puebla Last 6 matches
17/03/2023 21:00
Puebla 0 - 4 Atlas MEX D1
10/03/2023 23:05
Puebla 1 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1
05/03/2023 14:00
Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 4 Puebla MEX D1
26/02/2023 21:05
Santos Laguna 3 - 2 Puebla MEX D1
17/02/2023 23:05
Puebla 1 - 3 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1
14/02/2023 21:05
Club Leon 2 - 0 Puebla MEX D1
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Toluca Toluca
25/03/2023 20:30
Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF
17/03/2023 23:05
Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1
12/03/2023 14:00
Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1
05/03/2023 21:05
Queretaro FC 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1
26/02/2023 14:00
Toluca 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis MEX D1
23/02/2023 22:05
Santos Laguna 0 - 5 Toluca MEX D1
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Puebla
Puebla
19
 Toluca
Toluca
22
Goals
Scored
11
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
21
Avg. per game
1.11
Scored
21
Avg. per game
0.95
Conceded
15
Avg. per game
0.68
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 19 home matches
YesNo
9 (47%)10 (53%)
In last 19 home matches
NoYes
13 (59%)9 (41%)
Puebla

Puebla

Recent matches

Toluca

Toluca

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(91%)20 2(9%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(64%)14 8(36%)

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(55%)12 10(45%)

/Yes

(74%)14 5(26%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(77%)17 5(23%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Puebla Puebla
Toluca Toluca
Shots
Puebla
Puebla
Total shots
12.47 avg / game
Blocked
30 total
Avg. 3.00
Toluca
Toluca
Total shots
15.00 avg / game
Blocked
35 total
Avg. 3.18
Puebla Puebla Pass Toluca Toluca
Total passes
7021
Avg. 390 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
10663
Avg. 485 / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
59%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Puebla
Puebla
1755
Avg. 92.37 / game
 Toluca
Toluca
2292
Avg. 104.18 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Puebla
Puebla
802
Avg. 42.21 / game
 Toluca
Toluca
934
Avg. 42.45 / game
OTHERS
Puebla
Puebla
19
Played games
Toluca
Toluca
22
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.21
4
Clean sheets
5
0.23
4.37
83
Corners
120
5.45
5.47
104
Throw-ins
175
7.95
0.89
17
Offsides
38
1.73
2.74
52
GK saves
69
3.14
Puebla
Puebla
DISCIPLINARY
Toluca
Toluca
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.16
41
Yellow card
53
2.41
0.05
1
Red card
5
0.23
12.05
229
Fouls
238
10.82
13.63
259
Tackles
296
13.45
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VS
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VS
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08/05
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VS
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NCA
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VS
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VS
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VS
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How We Build the Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 07 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Puebla vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Puebla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Puebla and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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