Puebla vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 April

Puebla

D D L W W

8th place in Primera Division de Mexico

1-2

07/04/2023 21:05

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 07 April 2023 (kick-off: 21:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Puebla vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Puebla are currently 8th with 22 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors Puebla, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:05

2023-04-07

Puebla vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Puebla

Toluca

2023-04-07 21:05

STANDINGS UP TO 07/04/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Head To Head

02/08/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

03/04/2022 13:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

05/11/2021 21:00

Puebla

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

21/03/2021 14:00

Toluca

4 - 4

Puebla

MEX D1

28/08/2020 20:30

Puebla

4 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

21/02/2020 23:00

Puebla

2 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

Puebla

50%

Draw

33%

Toluca

17%

Puebla Last 6 matches

17/03/2023 21:00

Puebla 0 - 4 Atlas MEX D1

10/03/2023 23:05

Puebla 1 - 0 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

05/03/2023 14:00

Pumas U.N.A.M. 2 - 4 Puebla MEX D1

26/02/2023 21:05

Santos Laguna 3 - 2 Puebla MEX D1

17/02/2023 23:05

Puebla 1 - 3 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

14/02/2023 21:05

Club Leon 2 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Toluca

25/03/2023 20:30

Chivas Guadalajara 2 - 2 Toluca INT CF

17/03/2023 23:05

Club Tijuana 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

12/03/2023 14:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

05/03/2023 21:05

Queretaro FC 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

26/02/2023 14:00

Toluca 2 - 0 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

23/02/2023 22:05

Santos Laguna 0 - 5 Toluca MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

161

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

260

Avg. per game

0.94

Conceded

187

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

110 (45%)132 (55%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

164 (59%)113 (41%)

Puebla

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Puebla

Toluca

Shots

Puebla

Total shots

11.45 avg / game

Blocked

394 total

Avg. 2.81

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Puebla Pass Toluca

Total passes

62681

Avg. 341 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Puebla

242

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.19

Clean sheets

0.25

3.84

930

Corners

1167

4.21

6.13

1484

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.10

266

Offsides

363

1.31

2.89

699

GK saves

677

2.44

Puebla

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.08

504

512

1.85

0.16

0.10

11.70

2832

Fouls

2745

9.91

10.15

2456

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 07 April 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Puebla vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Puebla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Puebla and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Mexico Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Mexico fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less