Puebla vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 January

Puebla

L L L L L

18th place in Autumn

1-1

26/01/2024 21:00

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 26 January 2024 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Puebla vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Puebla are currently 18th with 5 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Puebla and Toluca have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2024-01-26

Puebla vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Puebla

Toluca

2024-01-26 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/01/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

31/10/2023 21:00

Toluca

0 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

07/04/2023 21:05

Puebla

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

02/08/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

03/04/2022 13:00

Toluca

2 - 1

Puebla

MEX D1

05/11/2021 21:00

Puebla

1 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

21/03/2021 14:00

Toluca

4 - 4

Puebla

MEX D1

Puebla

33%

Draw

33%

Toluca

33%

Puebla Last 6 matches

19/01/2024 21:00

Puebla 1 - 2 Necaxa MEX D1

13/01/2024 23:00

Monterrey 2 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

03/12/2023 22:10

Tigres UANL 3 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

30/11/2023 21:00

Puebla 2 - 2 Tigres UANL MEX D1

12/11/2023 20:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 1 - 2 Puebla MEX D1

03/11/2023 23:00

Puebla 5 - 4 Club Leon MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Toluca

20/01/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Mazatlan FC MEX D1

12/01/2024 21:00

Queretaro FC 2 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

10/11/2023 21:05

Mazatlan FC 1 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

05/11/2023 20:05

Santos Laguna 3 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

31/10/2023 21:00

Toluca 0 - 1 Puebla MEX D1

29/10/2023 14:00

Toluca 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Puebla

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.00

Scored

Avg. per game

1.22

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

8 (44%)10 (56%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

13 (72%)5 (28%)

Puebla

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(89%)16 2(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)12 6(33%)

Under /Over

(56%)10 8(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

Under /Over

(44%)8 10(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)10 8(44%)

/Yes

(67%)12 6(33%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)9 9(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Puebla

Toluca

Shots

Puebla

Total shots

16.89 avg / game

Blocked

70 total

Avg. 4.38

Toluca

Total shots

13.17 avg / game

Blocked

49 total

Avg. 3.06

Puebla Pass Toluca

Total passes

7022

Avg. 413 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

8152

Avg. 453 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Puebla

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.11

Clean sheets

0.39

4.72

Corners

4.61

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.22

Offsides

1.17

3.50

GK saves

2.72

Puebla

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.67

1.50

0.06

0.17

11.06

199

Fouls

173

9.61

14.28

257

Tackles

237

13.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Puebla vs Toluca on 26 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Puebla vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Puebla's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Puebla and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Primera Division de Mexico Predictions

Find every upcoming Primera Division de Mexico fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less