Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Progreso Reserves
LWLWD
No standing data
2
0-1
FT
30/09/2025 14:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve
WLWLW
No standing data
Uruguay Reserve League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve on 30 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Defensor Sporting Reserve to win with probability 38%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Defensor Sporting Reserve, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Progreso Reserves have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
14:00

2025-09-30

Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve - Prediction & Odds

Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
2025-09-30 14:00
34
28
38
2
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
2.33
FT
0-1 0-0
-
weather
16°C
STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Progreso Reserves and Defensor Sporting Reserve in the Uruguay Reserve League football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
31/03/2025 08:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
3 - 3
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
14/10/2024 14:00
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
URU RL
29/04/2024 14:30
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
1 - 0
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
15/09/2020 14:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
1 - 0
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
09/12/2019 15:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
3 - 2
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
04/06/2019 14:30
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
1 - 5
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
URU RL
Progreso Reserves
0
0%
Draw
2
33%
Defensor Sporting Reserve
4
67%
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves Last 6 matches
22/09/2025 08:00
Albion fc Reserves 1 - 0 Progreso Reserves URU RL
18/09/2025 08:00
Progreso Reserves 3 - 0 Liverpool Montevideo Reserve URU RL
15/09/2025 14:00
Progreso Reserves 0 - 1 Wanderers FC Reserve URU RL
08/09/2025 14:00
Oriental Reserves 0 - 1 Progreso Reserves URU RL
01/09/2025 14:00
Progreso Reserves 0 - 0 Liverpool Montevideo Reserve URU RL
24/08/2025 14:00
Progreso Reserves 1 - 1 Nacional de Montevideo Reserves URU RL
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
22/09/2025 11:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve 1 - 0 Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves URU RL
15/09/2025 14:00
Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves 3 - 2 Defensor Sporting Reserve URU RL
08/09/2025 12:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve 1 - 0 Penarol Reserve URU RL
01/09/2025 13:00
Torque Reserves 2 - 1 Defensor Sporting Reserve URU RL
24/08/2025 09:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve 2 - 1 Boston River Reserve URU RL
04/08/2025 12:00
Defensor Sporting Reserve 5 - 1 Boston River Reserve URU RL
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Reserve League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
52
 Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
79
Goals
Scored
27
Avg. per game
0.52
Conceded
22
Avg. per game
0.42
Scored
67
Avg. per game
0.85
Conceded
41
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 52 home matches
YesNo
20 (38%)32 (62%)
In last 52 home matches
NoYes
44 (56%)35 (44%)
Progreso Reserves

Progreso Reserves

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Reserve

Defensor Sporting Reserve

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(16%)7 38(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
Shots
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Total shots
8.94 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Total shots
10.08 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves Pass Defensor Sporting Reserve Defensor Sporting Reserve
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
4287
Avg. 82.44 / game
 Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
7486
Avg. 94.76 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
2567
Avg. 49.37 / game
 Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
4691
Avg. 59.38 / game
OTHERS
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
52
Played games
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
79
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.38
20
Clean sheets
23
0.29
5.04
262
Corners
441
5.58
0.44
23
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.27
14
Offsides
30
0.38
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
DISCIPLINARY
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Defensor Sporting Reserve
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.21
115
Yellow card
146
1.85
0.17
9
Red card
15
0.19
0.98
51
Fouls
102
1.29
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve on 30 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Reserve League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Progreso Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserve Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Progreso Reserves's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Reserve's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Reserve League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Reserve League standings and the Uruguay Reserve League form table to understand exactly where Progreso Reserves and Defensor Sporting Reserve sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Reserve League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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