Portugal vs Denmark Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 23

Portugal

D W D W W

1st place in Group A

3-2

AET 8-4

23/03/2025 19:45

Denmark

D L D L W

2nd place in Group D

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Portugal vs Denmark on March 23, 2025 (kick-off: 19:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Portugal vs Denmark preview before placing for you.

Portugal are currently 1st with 14 points after 6 matches.
Denmark sit 2nd with 8 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Portugal to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Portugal, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Denmark have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:45

2025-03-23

Portugal vs Denmark - Prediction & Odds

Portugal

Denmark

2025-03-23 19:45

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2025

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Portugal	14	6	4	2	0	13	5	8
02 Croatia	8	6	2	2	2	8	8	0
03 Scotland	7	6	2	1	3	7	8	-1
04 Poland	4	6	1	1	4	9	16	-7

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Spain	16	6	5	1	0	13	4	9
02 Denmark	8	6	2	2	2	7	5	2
03 Serbia	6	6	1	3	2	3	6	-3
04 Switzerland	2	6	0	2	4	6	14	-8

Head To Head

08/10/2015 18:45

Portugal

1 - 0

Denmark

EURO Cup

14/10/2014 18:45

Denmark

0 - 1

Portugal

EURO Cup

13/06/2012 15:59

Denmark

2 - 3

Portugal

EURO Cup

11/10/2011 18:15

Denmark

2 - 1

Portugal

EURO Cup

08/10/2010 19:45

Portugal

3 - 1

Denmark

EURO Cup

05/09/2009 18:00

Denmark

1 - 1

Portugal

WCPEU

Portugal

67%

Draw

17%

Denmark

17%

Portugal Last 6 matches

18/11/2024 19:45

Croatia 1 - 1 Portugal UEFA NL

15/11/2024 19:45

Portugal 5 - 1 Poland UEFA NL

15/10/2024 18:45

Scotland 0 - 0 Portugal UEFA NL

12/10/2024 18:45

Poland 1 - 3 Portugal UEFA NL

08/09/2024 18:45

Portugal 2 - 1 Scotland UEFA NL

05/09/2024 18:45

Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia UEFA NL

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Denmark

18/11/2024 19:45

Serbia 0 - 0 Denmark UEFA NL

15/11/2024 19:45

Denmark 1 - 2 Spain UEFA NL

15/10/2024 18:45

Switzerland 2 - 2 Denmark UEFA NL

12/10/2024 18:45

Spain 1 - 0 Denmark UEFA NL

08/09/2024 16:00

Denmark 2 - 0 Serbia UEFA NL

05/09/2024 18:45

Denmark 2 - 0 Switzerland UEFA NL

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Portugal

Denmark

Goals

Scored

119

Avg. per game

1.32

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

Avg. per game

1.09

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 90 matches

YesNo

59 (66%)31 (34%)

In last 90 matches

NoYes

52 (64%)29 (36%)

Portugal

Recent matches

Denmark

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Portugal

Denmark

Shots

Portugal

Total shots

16.33 avg / game

Blocked

253 total

Avg. 3.89

Denmark

Total shots

14.44 avg / game

Blocked

232 total

Avg. 4.14

Portugal Pass Denmark

Total passes

41258

Avg. 598 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

35701

Avg. 585 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Portugal

Played games

Denmark

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.47

Clean sheets

0.47

5.79

521

Corners

468

5.78

13.06

1175

Throw-ins

1185

14.63

2.01

181

Offsides

1.14

1.94

175

GK saves

138

1.70

Portugal

DISCIPLINARY

Denmark

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.33

120

1.17

0.03

0.01

8.81

793

Fouls

692

8.54

9.60

864

Tackles

805

9.94

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Portugal vs Denmark Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Portugal vs Denmark on 23 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Portugal vs Denmark Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Portugal's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Denmark's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Portugal and Denmark sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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