Pontypridd vs Carmarthen: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 September

Pontypridd

W L L W D

11th place in South

3-1

05/09/2025 14:30

Carmarthen

W W D W L

5th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pontypridd vs Carmarthen on 05 September 2025 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pontypridd vs Carmarthen preview before placing your bet.

Pontypridd are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Carmarthen sit 5th with 45 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Carmarthen to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Pontypridd, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Carmarthen have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2025-09-05

Pontypridd vs Carmarthen - Prediction & Odds

Pontypridd

Carmarthen

2025-09-05 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 05/09/2025

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

07/03/2025 15:30

Pontypridd

1 - 3

Carmarthen

WAL FAWC

09/11/2024 10:00

Carmarthen

0 - 1

Pontypridd

WAL FAWC

11/11/2023 10:00

Carmarthen

4 - 2

Pontypridd

WALC

06/08/2022 09:30

Pontypridd

2 - 0

Carmarthen

WAL CLC

30/04/2022 09:30

Carmarthen

0 - 2

Pontypridd

WAL FAWC

24/07/2021 09:30

Pontypridd

1 - 1

Carmarthen

WAL FAWC

Pontypridd

50%

Draw

17%

Carmarthen

33%

Pontypridd Last 6 matches

25/08/2025 09:30

Caerau Ely 2 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Pontypridd 1 - 2 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:40

Aberystwyth Town 0 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

08/08/2025 14:30

Pontypridd 2 - 3 Ynyshir Albions WAL FAWC

02/08/2025 09:00

UWIC Inter Cardiff 4 - 0 Pontypridd WAL CLC

27/07/2025 09:30

Baglan Dragons 3 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Carmarthen

25/08/2025 09:30

Carmarthen 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

22/08/2025 14:30

Carmarthen 1 - 0 Aberystwyth Town WAL FAWC

16/08/2025 09:30

Llantwit Major 0 - 0 Carmarthen WAL FAWC

09/08/2025 09:30

Carmarthen 2 - 1 Cardiff Draconians FC WAL FAWC

26/07/2025 09:30

Cwmbran Celtic 0 - 4 Carmarthen WAL FAWC

19/07/2025 09:30

Carmarthen 1 - 4 Swansea City U21 WAL CLC

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

158

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

185

Avg. per game

0.99

Conceded

153

Avg. per game

0.82

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 185 matches

YesNo

97 (52%)88 (48%)

In last 185 matches

NoYes

110 (59%)76 (41%)

Pontypridd

Recent matches

Carmarthen

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pontypridd

Carmarthen

Shots

Pontypridd

Total shots

9.12 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Carmarthen

Total shots

10.89 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pontypridd Pass Carmarthen

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pontypridd

185

Played games

Carmarthen

186

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.30

3.97

734

Corners

601

3.23

0.00

Throw-ins

0.01

0.23

Offsides

0.35

0.88

162

GK saves

0.00

Pontypridd

DISCIPLINARY

Carmarthen

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

326

208

1.12

0.13

0.09

1.49

276

Fouls

264

1.42

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pontypridd vs Carmarthen Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pontypridd vs Carmarthen on 05 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pontypridd vs Carmarthen Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pontypridd's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Carmarthen's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Pontypridd and Carmarthen sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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