Pontypridd vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Pontypridd

L W D W L

11th place in Welsh Premier League

1 - 0

11/03/2023 10:30

Caernarfon

L L L L W

8th place in Welsh Premier League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pontypridd vs Caernarfon on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 10:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pontypridd vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Pontypridd are currently 11th with 20 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 8th with 25 points from 22 matches.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Pontypridd and Caernarfon have each won 1 of the last 2 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	60	22	19	3	0	83	8	75
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	44	22	13	5	4	33	14	19
03 Pen-y-Bont FC	41	22	12	5	5	37	19	18
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	41	22	13	2	7	29	29	0
05 Bala Town F.C.	40	22	12	4	6	42	21	21
06 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	41	39	2
07 Haverfordwest County	27	22	8	3	11	29	35	-6
08 Caernarfon	25	22	8	1	13	33	41	-8
09 Flint Town	24	22	6	6	10	24	37	-13
10 Aberystwyth Town	22	22	7	1	14	23	58	-35
11 Pontypridd	20	22	6	2	14	22	42	-20
12 Airbus UK Broughton	1	22	0	1	21	13	66	-53

Head To Head

01/10/2022 09:30

Pontypridd

3 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

20/08/2022 09:30

Caernarfon

2 - 0

Pontypridd

Welsh PR

Pontypridd

50%

Draw

Caernarfon

50%

Pontypridd Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 10:30

Pontypridd 2 - 1 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

18/02/2023 08:40

Aberystwyth Town 3 - 3 Pontypridd Welsh PR

11/02/2023 10:30

Pontypridd 4 - 0 Airbus UK Broughton Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Flint Town 4 - 1 Pontypridd Welsh PR

14/01/2023 10:00

Bala Town F.C. 2 - 1 Pontypridd WALC

07/01/2023 10:30

Bala Town F.C. 3 - 0 Pontypridd Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

24/02/2023 15:45

Caernarfon 2 - 2 Flint Town Welsh PR

18/02/2023 10:30

Airbus UK Broughton 0 - 2 Caernarfon Welsh PR

11/02/2023 10:30

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Haverfordwest County Welsh PR

21/01/2023 13:15

Aberystwyth Town 2 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

10/01/2023 15:45

Airbus UK Broughton 0 - 3 Caernarfon Welsh PR

07/01/2023 08:45

Pen-y-Bont FC 5 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

135

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

116

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

160

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

176

Avg. per game

0.73

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 184 matches

YesNo

87 (47%)97 (53%)

In last 184 matches

NoYes

114 (48%)126 (53%)

Pontypridd

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pontypridd

Caernarfon

Shots

Pontypridd

Total shots

9.11 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Pontypridd Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pontypridd

184

Played games

Caernarfon

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.24

3.96

728

Corners

1040

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.23

Offsides

0.12

0.88

162

GK saves

379

1.58

Pontypridd

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

324

427

1.78

0.13

0.12

1.50

276

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

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NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Pontypridd vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pontypridd vs Caernarfon on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pontypridd vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pontypridd's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Pontypridd and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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