Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Pontypridd

W L L W D

11th place in South

2-0

21/02/2026 14:00

Baglan Dragons

L L D L L

14th place in South

Wales FAW Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons preview before placing your bet.

Pontypridd are currently 11th with 34 points after 30 matches.
Baglan Dragons sit 14th with 25 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Pontypridd to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Pontypridd and Baglan Dragons have each won 1 of the last 3 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-02-21

Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons - Prediction & Odds

Pontypridd

Baglan Dragons

2026-02-21 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

South	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Trefelin	78	30	25	3	2	83	17	66
02 Cambrian Clydach	76	30	24	4	2	75	20	55
03 Ammanford	58	30	16	10	4	48	26	22
04 Caerau Ely	57	30	17	6	7	66	34	32
05 Carmarthen	45	30	11	12	7	45	38	7
06 Aberystwyth Town	44	30	13	5	12	35	38	-3
07 Cardiff Draconians FC	40	30	12	4	14	50	48	2
08 Llantwit Major	38	31	9	11	11	44	47	-3
09 Treowen Stars	37	30	10	7	13	51	63	-12
10 Newport City	37	30	9	10	11	36	48	-12
11 Pontypridd	34	30	9	7	14	46	51	-5
12 Afan Lido	30	30	9	3	18	32	57	-25
13 Trey Thomas Drossel	29	30	6	11	13	45	62	-17
14 Baglan Dragons	25	30	5	10	15	26	52	-26
15 Ynyshir Albions	23	30	5	8	17	27	56	-29
16 Cwmbran Celtic	12	31	1	9	21	25	77	-52

North	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Llandudno	80	30	26	2	2	77	22	55
02 Airbus UK Broughton	75	30	24	3	3	93	22	71
03 Holywell	60	30	18	6	6	78	40	38
04 Newtown AFC	48	30	15	3	12	51	49	2
05 Rhyl FC	46	30	14	4	12	46	55	-9
06 Guilsfield	43	30	13	4	13	50	48	2
07 Mold Alexandra	41	30	12	5	13	38	45	-7
08 Denbigh Town	40	30	12	4	14	52	59	-7
09 Caersws	37	30	11	4	15	46	51	-5
10 Brickfield Rangers	37	60	22	8	30	78	98	-20
11 Holyhead	36	30	10	6	14	44	49	-5
12 Penrhyncoch	35	30	10	5	15	45	53	-8
13 Buckley Town	30	30	9	3	18	50	77	-27
14 Flint Mountain	29	30	9	2	19	39	61	-22
15 Gresford	28	30	8	4	18	47	87	-40
16 Ruthin Town FC	23	30	6	5	19	36	64	-28

Head To Head

27/07/2025 13:30

Baglan Dragons

3 - 0

Pontypridd

WAL FAWC

17/01/2025 19:30

Pontypridd

1 - 0

Baglan Dragons

WAL FAWC

26/10/2024 13:30

Baglan Dragons

2 - 2

Pontypridd

WAL FAWC

Pontypridd

33%

Draw

33%

Baglan Dragons

33%

Pontypridd Last 6 matches

30/01/2026 19:30

Pontypridd 2 - 0 Afan Lido WAL FAWC

09/01/2026 19:30

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Ammanford WAL FAWC

01/01/2026 14:00

Cambrian Clydach 1 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 14:00

Pontypridd 0 - 1 Aberystwyth Town WAL FAWC

13/12/2025 14:00

Pontypridd 0 - 3 Colwyn Bay WALC

05/12/2025 19:30

Newport City 0 - 0 Pontypridd WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Baglan Dragons

07/02/2026 14:00

Baglan Dragons 0 - 1 Aberystwyth Town WAL FAWC

24/01/2026 14:00

Ynyshir Albions 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

03/01/2026 14:15

Llantwit Major 0 - 0 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

26/12/2025 14:00

Baglan Dragons 3 - 1 Afan Lido WAL FAWC

20/12/2025 14:00

Trey Thomas Drossel 2 - 1 Baglan Dragons WAL FAWC

28/11/2025 19:30

Baglan Dragons 0 - 3 Ammanford WAL FAWC

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales FAW Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

157

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

159

Avg. per game

0.86

Scored

Avg. per game

0.62

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.90

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 184 matches

YesNo

96 (52%)88 (48%)

In last 184 matches

NoYes

45 (44%)57 (56%)

Pontypridd

Recent matches

Baglan Dragons

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pontypridd

Baglan Dragons

Shots

Pontypridd

Total shots

9.11 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Baglan Dragons

Total shots

9.20 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pontypridd Pass Baglan Dragons

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pontypridd

184

Played games

Baglan Dragons

102

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.24

3.96

728

Corners

324

3.18

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.23

Offsides

0.43

0.88

162

GK saves

0.00

Pontypridd

DISCIPLINARY

Baglan Dragons

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

324

111

1.09

0.13

0.13

1.50

276

Fouls

170

1.67

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

Cardiff Draconians FC

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales FAW Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pontypridd vs Baglan Dragons Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pontypridd's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Baglan Dragons's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales FAW Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales FAW Championship standings and the Wales FAW Championship form table to understand exactly where Pontypridd and Baglan Dragons sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales FAW Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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