Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 March

Ponte Preta

W W D W D

1st place in Brazil Campeonato Paulista B

3 - 0

21/03/2023 18:00

Comercial SP

D W W L D

9th place in Brazil Campeonato Paulista B

Brazil Campeonato Paulista B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP on 21 March 2023 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP preview before placing your bet.

Ponte Preta are currently 1st with 36 points after 15 matches.
Comercial SP sit 9th with 19 points from 15 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Ponte Preta, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Comercial SP have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 21/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ponte Preta	36	15	11	3	1	29	14	15
02 Gremio Novorizontin	29	15	9	2	4	26	16	10
03 Noroeste	26	15	8	2	5	24	20	4
04 XV de Piracicaba	25	15	6	7	2	18	12	6
05 AA Portuguesa Santista	24	15	7	3	5	24	21	3
06 Oeste	21	15	5	6	4	23	17	6
07 AE Velo Clube SP	21	15	6	3	6	20	21	-1
08 Primavera	19	15	4	7	4	20	20	0
09 Comercial-SP	19	15	5	4	6	12	16	-4
10 Juventus SP	18	15	4	6	5	18	14	4
11 Linense(BRA)	18	15	4	6	5	13	14	-1
12 Rio Claro	18	15	5	3	7	18	20	-2
13 Taubate	16	15	4	4	7	14	16	-2
14 Monte Azul SP	14	15	3	5	7	18	27	-9
15 Sao Caetano	12	15	3	3	9	14	24	-10
16 Lemense SP	11	15	3	2	10	13	32	-19

Head To Head

04/03/2023 15:00

Comercial-SP

1 - 1

Ponte Preta

BRA SPB

05/02/2014 17:30

Comercial-SP

0 - 1

Ponte Preta

BRA SP

04/03/2012 17:30

Ponte Preta

1 - 0

Comercial-SP

BRA SP

Ponte Preta

67%

Draw

33%

Comercial SP

Ponte Preta Last 6 matches

11/03/2023 14:00

Ponte Preta 2 - 0 Noroeste BRA SPB

07/03/2023 19:00

Brasil de Pelotas 2 - 0 Ponte Preta Copa do Brasil

04/03/2023 15:00

Comercial-SP 1 - 1 Ponte Preta BRA SPB

28/02/2023 20:30

Fluminense PI 0 - 4 Ponte Preta Copa do Brasil

25/02/2023 10:00

Lemense SP 0 - 2 Ponte Preta BRA SPB

22/02/2023 18:30

Ponte Preta 1 - 1 Primavera BRA SPB

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Comercial SP

11/03/2023 14:00

Rio Claro 2 - 0 Comercial-SP BRA SPB

04/03/2023 15:00

Comercial-SP 1 - 1 Ponte Preta BRA SPB

01/03/2023 19:00

XV de Piracicaba 1 - 0 Comercial-SP BRA SPB

25/02/2023 15:00

Comercial-SP 2 - 1 AE Velo Clube SP BRA SPB

18/02/2023 14:00

Sao Caetano 1 - 2 Comercial-SP BRA SPB

15/02/2023 14:00

Monte Azul SP 1 - 1 Comercial-SP BRA SPB

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Campeonato Paul...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

162

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

179

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

100

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

109

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

125 (42%)175 (58%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

71 (41%)102 (59%)

Ponte Preta

Recent matches

Comercial SP

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Ponte Preta

Comercial SP

Shots

Ponte Preta

Total shots

10.00 avg / game

Blocked

349 total

Avg. 2.64

Comercial SP

Total shots

10.56 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Ponte Preta Pass Comercial SP

Total passes

62347

Avg. 315 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Ponte Preta

300

Played games

Comercial SP

173

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.31

4.59

1377

Corners

811

4.69

3.87

1162

Throw-ins

0.42

1.08

323

Offsides

0.09

1.98

593

GK saves

0.00

Ponte Preta

DISCIPLINARY

Comercial SP

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.50

749

378

2.18

0.18

0.13

10.50

3150

Fouls

119

0.69

7.96

2387

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP on 21 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Campeonato Paulista B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Ponte Preta vs Comercial SP Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Ponte Preta's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Comercial SP's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Campeonato Paulista B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Campeonato Paulista B standings and the Brazil Campeonato Paulista B form table to understand exactly where Ponte Preta and Comercial SP sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Campeonato Paulista B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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