Poland vs Lithuania: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 March

Poland

L L D L L

2nd place in Group G

1-0

21/03/2025 12:45

Lithuania

L L L L L

5th place in Group G

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA)

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Poland vs Lithuania on 21 March 2025 (kick-off: 12:45) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Poland vs Lithuania preview before placing your bet.

Poland are currently 2nd with 17 points after 8 matches.
Lithuania sit 5th with 3 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Poland to win with probability 83%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Poland and Lithuania have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:45

2025-03-21

Poland vs Lithuania - Prediction & Odds

Poland

Lithuania

2025-03-21 12:45

STANDINGS UP TO 21/03/2025

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Netherlands	20	8	6	2	0	27	4	23
02 Poland	17	8	5	2	1	14	7	7
03 Finland	10	8	3	1	4	8	14	-6
04 Malta	5	8	1	2	5	4	19	-15
05 Lithuania	3	8	0	3	5	6	15	-9

Head To Head

12/06/2018 08:59

Poland

4 - 0

Lithuania

INT FRL

06/06/2016 08:59

Poland

0 - 0

Lithuania

INT FRL

06/06/2014 08:30

Poland

2 - 1

Lithuania

INT FRL

25/03/2011 12:30

Lithuania

2 - 0

Poland

INT CF

07/02/2009 12:20

Lithuania

1 - 1

Poland

INT CF

02/05/2006 11:00

Poland

0 - 1

Lithuania

INT CF

Poland

33%

Draw

33%

Lithuania

33%

Poland Last 6 matches

18/11/2024 12:45

Poland 1 - 2 Scotland UEFA NL

15/11/2024 12:45

Portugal 5 - 1 Poland UEFA NL

15/10/2024 11:45

Poland 3 - 3 Croatia UEFA NL

12/10/2024 11:45

Poland 1 - 3 Portugal UEFA NL

08/09/2024 11:45

Croatia 1 - 0 Poland UEFA NL

05/09/2024 11:45

Scotland 2 - 3 Poland UEFA NL

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Lithuania

18/11/2024 12:45

Kosovo 1 - 0 Lithuania UEFA NL

15/11/2024 10:00

Cyprus 2 - 1 Lithuania UEFA NL

15/10/2024 11:45

Lithuania 1 - 2 Romania UEFA NL

12/10/2024 06:00

Lithuania 1 - 2 Kosovo UEFA NL

09/09/2024 11:45

Romania 3 - 1 Lithuania UEFA NL

06/09/2024 09:00

Lithuania 0 - 1 Cyprus UEFA NL

Win

Draw

Lost

100%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues FIFA World Cup qualifi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Poland

Lithuania

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

Avg. per game

0.33

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.83

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 82 matches

YesNo

39 (48%)43 (52%)

In last 82 matches

NoYes

20 (28%)52 (72%)

Poland

Recent matches

Lithuania

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Poland

Lithuania

Shots

Poland

Total shots

12.67 avg / game

Blocked

219 total

Avg. 3.91

Lithuania

Total shots

9.22 avg / game

Blocked

92 total

Avg. 2.30

Poland Pass Lithuania

Total passes

26919

Avg. 456 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

17529

Avg. 373 / game

Accurate

75%

Ball possession

45%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Poland

Played games

Lithuania

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.15

4.34

356

Corners

199

2.76

12.96

1063

Throw-ins

837

11.63

1.20

Offsides

1.07

2.00

164

GK saves

161

2.24

Poland

DISCIPLINARY

Lithuania

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.55

127

145

2.01

0.02

0.07

10.57

867

Fouls

722

10.03

9.28

761

Tackles

584

8.11

NEXT MATCHES

09/25

Poland

Bosnia and Herzegovina

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Poland vs Lithuania Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Poland vs Lithuania on 21 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Poland vs Lithuania Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Poland's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lithuania's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) standings and the FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) form table to understand exactly where Poland and Lithuania sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our FIFA World Cup qualification (UEFA) predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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