Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 May

Pogon Siedlce

W W L L L

14th place in Poland Liga 1

1-3

15/05/2026 16:00

Stal Mielec

L L L D W

15th place in Poland Liga 1

Poland Liga 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec on 15 May 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec preview before placing your bet.

Pogon Siedlce are currently 14th with 36 points after 34 matches.
Stal Mielec sit 15th with 36 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Stal Mielec to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Pogon Siedlce, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Stal Mielec have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-05-15

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec - Prediction & Odds

Pogon Siedlce

Stal Mielec

2026-05-15 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Wisla Krakow	71	33	20	11	2	72	29	43
02 Slask Wroclaw	59	33	16	11	6	66	47	19
03 KS Wieczysta Krakow	57	34	16	9	9	70	47	23
04 Chrobry Glogow	55	34	16	7	11	48	36	12
05 LKS Lodz	54	34	15	9	10	56	48	8
06 Ruch Chorzow	53	34	14	11	9	54	46	8
07 Polonia Warszawa	53	34	15	8	11	52	49	3
08 Miedz Legnica	52	34	15	7	12	52	53	-1
09 Puszcza Niepolomice	49	34	12	13	9	45	40	5
10 Polonia Bytom	47	34	13	8	13	56	50	6
11 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	45	34	11	12	11	51	54	-3
12 Odra Opole	44	34	11	11	12	34	40	-6
13 Stal Rzeszow	43	34	12	7	15	49	60	-11
14 Pogon Siedlce	36	34	9	9	16	33	43	-10
15 Stal Mielec	36	34	10	6	18	51	62	-11
16 Znicz Pruszkow	28	34	7	7	20	40	68	-28
17 Gornik Leczna	27	34	5	12	17	39	62	-23
18 GKS Tychy	23	34	5	8	21	40	74	-34

Head To Head

08/11/2025 18:30

Stal Mielec

0 - 0

Pogon Siedlce

POL D1

25/09/2018 16:30

Pogon Siedlce

2 - 1

Stal Mielec

POL Cup

17/03/2018 15:59

Pogon Siedlce

1 - 2

Stal Mielec

POL D1

23/08/2017 17:00

Stal Mielec

2 - 3

Pogon Siedlce

POL D1

04/06/2017 10:30

Stal Mielec

1 - 2

Pogon Siedlce

POL D1

23/11/2016 17:00

Pogon Siedlce

1 - 0

Stal Mielec

POL D1

Pogon Siedlce

67%

Draw

17%

Stal Mielec

17%

Pogon Siedlce Last 6 matches

02/05/2026 17:30

LKS Lodz 4 - 0 Pogon Siedlce POL D1

25/04/2026 17:30

Pogon Siedlce 2 - 0 Miedz Legnica POL D1

19/04/2026 15:00

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0 - 2 Pogon Siedlce POL D1

12/04/2026 10:00

Pogon Siedlce 0 - 1 GKS Tychy POL D1

04/04/2026 17:30

Slask Wroclaw 1 - 0 Pogon Siedlce POL D1

22/03/2026 16:00

Pogon Siedlce 1 - 2 Chrobry Glogow POL D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Stal Mielec

09/05/2026 17:30

Stal Mielec 1 - 1 Puszcza Niepolomice POL D1

02/05/2026 17:30

Miedz Legnica 1 - 0 Stal Mielec POL D1

25/04/2026 17:30

Stal Mielec 2 - 3 Slask Wroclaw POL D1

17/04/2026 16:00

Chrobry Glogow 2 - 1 Stal Mielec POL D1

11/04/2026 17:30

Stal Mielec 3 - 1 Stal Rzeszow POL D1

06/04/2026 17:30

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1 - 2 Stal Mielec POL D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Poland Liga 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Pogon Siedlce

Stal Mielec

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.76

Scored

Avg. per game

0.71

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.94

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 17 home matches

YesNo

8 (47%)9 (53%)

In last 17 home matches

NoYes

10 (59%)7 (41%)

Pogon Siedlce

Recent matches

Stal Mielec

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(94%)16 1(6%)

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

Under /Over

(59%)10 7(41%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)9 8(47%)

/Yes

(53%)9 8(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(82%)14 3(18%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pogon Siedlce

Stal Mielec

Shots

Pogon Siedlce

Total shots

9.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Stal Mielec

Total shots

10.94 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Pogon Siedlce Pass Stal Mielec

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pogon Siedlce

Played games

Stal Mielec

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.12

4.41

Corners

5.12

12.88

219

Throw-ins

225

13.24

0.76

Offsides

1.00

0.00

GK saves

0.18

Pogon Siedlce

DISCIPLINARY

Stal Mielec

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

2.12

0.06

0.35

9.76

166

Fouls

120

7.06

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec on 15 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Poland Liga 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pogon Siedlce's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Stal Mielec's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Poland Liga 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Poland Liga 1 standings and the Poland Liga 1 form table to understand exactly where Pogon Siedlce and Stal Mielec sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Poland Liga 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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