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Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 17

Penarol Reserve
WDWLD
No standing data
1
4-0
FT
17/11/2025 15:00
Progreso Reserves
LLWLW
No standing data
Uruguay Reserve League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves on November 17, 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves preview before placing for you.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Penarol Reserve to win with probability 53%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Progreso Reserves, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penarol Reserve have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:00

2025-11-17

Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves - Prediction & Odds

Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
2025-11-17 15:00
53
24
23
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.75
1.70
FT
4-0 2-0
-
weather
20°C
STANDINGS UP TO 17/11/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Penarol Reserve and Progreso Reserves in the Uruguay Reserve League football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
19/05/2025 14:00
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
0 - 0
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
09/09/2024 14:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
3 - 1
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
09/11/2021 14:30
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
2 - 1
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
03/09/2019 14:00
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
1 - 0
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
URU RL
28/05/2019 14:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
1 - 3
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
30/10/2018 09:00
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
4 - 2
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
URU RL
Penarol Reserve
2
33%
Draw
1
17%
Progreso Reserves
3
50%
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve Last 6 matches
10/11/2025 15:00
Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves 1 - 2 Penarol Reserve URU RL
03/11/2025 15:00
Penarol Reserve 1 - 1 Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves URU RL
27/10/2025 16:00
Nacional de Montevideo Reserves 0 - 1 Penarol Reserve URU RL
20/10/2025 15:00
Torque Reserves 1 - 0 Penarol Reserve URU RL
13/10/2025 15:00
Penarol Reserve 0 - 0 Boston River Reserve URU RL
06/10/2025 14:00
Danubio Reserves 1 - 4 Penarol Reserve URU RL
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
10/11/2025 08:00
Progreso Reserves 1 - 4 Torque Reserves URU RL
04/11/2025 08:00
Progreso Reserves 1 - 4 Boston River Reserve URU RL
27/10/2025 15:00
Progreso Reserves 5 - 1 Danubio Reserves URU RL
20/10/2025 10:00
CA River Plate Reserves 2 - 1 Progreso Reserves URU RL
13/10/2025 15:00
Progreso Reserves 2 - 1 Miramar Misiones Reserves URU RL
09/10/2025 14:00
La Luz Reserves 2 - 2 Progreso Reserves URU RL
Win
33%
Draw
17%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Reserve League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
156
 Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
103
Goals
Scored
168
Avg. per game
1.08
Conceded
83
Avg. per game
0.53
Scored
85
Avg. per game
0.83
Conceded
68
Avg. per game
0.66
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 156 matches
YesNo
105 (67%)51 (33%)
In last 156 matches
NoYes
53 (51%)50 (49%)
Penarol Reserve

Penarol Reserve

Recent matches

Progreso Reserves

Progreso Reserves

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve
Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
Shots
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
Total shots
11.24 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Total shots
9.06 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Penarol Reserve Penarol Reserve Pass Progreso Reserves Progreso Reserves
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
53%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
14075
Avg. 90.22 / game
 Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
8912
Avg. 86.52 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
8918
Avg. 57.17 / game
 Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
5392
Avg. 52.35 / game
OTHERS
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
156
Played games
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
103
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.44
68
Clean sheets
38
0.37
5.17
806
Corners
455
4.42
0.19
30
Throw-ins
62
0.60
0.24
37
Offsides
29
0.28
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Penarol Reserve
Penarol Reserve
DISCIPLINARY
Progreso Reserves
Progreso Reserves
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.14
334
Yellow card
216
2.10
0.20
31
Red card
21
0.20
1.28
200
Fouls
98
0.95
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves on 17 November 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Reserve League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penarol Reserve vs Progreso Reserves Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penarol Reserve's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Progreso Reserves's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Reserve League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Reserve League standings and the Uruguay Reserve League form table to understand exactly where Penarol Reserve and Progreso Reserves sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Reserve League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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