Penafiel vs Oliveirense: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 March

Penafiel
LLDWL
13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
1 - 1
FT
04/03/2023 07:00
Oliveirense
WLLWL
10th place in Portugal Segunda Liga
Portugal Segunda Liga
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Oliveirense on 04 March 2023 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Oliveirense preview before placing your bet.

  • Penafiel are currently 13th with 39 points after 34 matches.
  • Oliveirense sit 10th with 43 points from 34 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Oliveirense, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 04/03/2023
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Moreirense Moreirense
79 34 24 7 3 77 38 39
02 SC Farense SC Farense
69 34 21 6 7 57 34 23
03 Estrela da Amadora Estrela da Amadora
63 34 16 15 3 55 35 20
04 Viseu Viseu
53 34 14 11 9 51 45 6
05 Porto B Porto B
51 34 14 9 11 48 40 8
06 CD Mafra CD Mafra
47 34 12 11 11 46 49 -3
07 Vilafranquense Vilafranquense
46 34 12 10 12 42 36 6
08 Feirense Feirense
46 34 11 13 10 43 37 6
09 SCU Torreense SCU Torreense
44 34 13 5 16 38 41 -3
10 Oliveirense Oliveirense
43 34 11 10 13 51 50 1
11 CD Tondela CD Tondela
40 34 8 16 10 35 35 0
12 Leixoes Leixoes
39 34 10 9 15 38 49 -11
13 Penafiel Penafiel
39 34 9 12 13 36 47 -11
14 Nacional da Madeira Nacional da Madeira
39 34 10 9 15 35 46 -11
15 SL Benfica B SL Benfica B
38 34 10 8 16 52 58 -6
16 Belenenses Belenenses
35 34 9 8 17 41 59 -18
17 Clube Desportivo Trofense Clube Desportivo Trofense
32 34 8 8 18 31 51 -20
18 SC Covilha SC Covilha
28 34 7 7 20 31 57 -26
Head To Head
09/09/2022 13:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
1 - 1
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
03/03/2021 13:00
Penafiel Penafiel
1 - 0
Oliveirense Oliveirense
POR D2
18/09/2020 11:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
2 - 1
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
15/12/2019 07:15
Oliveirense Oliveirense
2 - 1
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
04/05/2019 13:05
Penafiel Penafiel
2 - 4
Oliveirense Oliveirense
POR D2
06/01/2019 13:00
Oliveirense Oliveirense
2 - 1
Penafiel Penafiel
POR D2
Penafiel
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Oliveirense
4
67%
Penafiel Penafiel Last 6 matches
24/02/2023 14:00
Clube Desportivo Trofense 1 - 2 Penafiel POR D2
18/02/2023 07:00
Penafiel 1 - 1 SC Covilha POR D2
13/02/2023 14:00
Belenenses 2 - 2 Penafiel POR D2
05/02/2023 07:00
Penafiel 1 - 0 CD Mafra POR D2
29/01/2023 14:00
Leixoes 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2
22/01/2023 11:30
Estrela da Amadora 3 - 0 Penafiel POR D2
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Oliveirense Oliveirense
25/02/2023 11:30
Oliveirense 2 - 2 Moreirense POR D2
18/02/2023 10:00
Clube Desportivo Trofense 2 - 1 Oliveirense POR D2
12/02/2023 07:00
Oliveirense 2 - 1 Porto B POR D2
04/02/2023 07:00
Oliveirense 2 - 2 Vilafranquense POR D2
29/01/2023 11:30
CD Mafra 2 - 3 Oliveirense POR D2
21/01/2023 11:30
Leixoes 1 - 2 Oliveirense POR D2
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Penafiel
Penafiel
118
 Oliveirense
Oliveirense
114
Goals
Scored
62
Avg. per game
0.53
Conceded
66
Avg. per game
0.56
Scored
64
Avg. per game
0.56
Conceded
71
Avg. per game
0.62
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 118 home matches
YesNo
49 (42%)69 (58%)
In last 118 home matches
NoYes
50 (44%)64 (56%)
Penafiel

Penafiel

Recent matches

Oliveirense

Oliveirense

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Penafiel Penafiel
Oliveirense Oliveirense
Shots
Penafiel
Penafiel
Total shots
10.95 avg / game
Blocked
24 total
Avg. 2.00
Oliveirense
Oliveirense
Total shots
10.99 avg / game
Blocked
42 total
Avg. 3.82
Penafiel Penafiel Pass Oliveirense Oliveirense
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Penafiel
Penafiel
10133
Avg. 85.87 / game
 Oliveirense
Oliveirense
10226
Avg. 89.70 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Penafiel
Penafiel
6351
Avg. 53.82 / game
 Oliveirense
Oliveirense
6239
Avg. 54.73 / game
OTHERS
Penafiel
Penafiel
118
Played games
Oliveirense
Oliveirense
114
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.32
38
Clean sheets
27
0.24
4.83
570
Corners
545
4.78
2.87
339
Throw-ins
246
2.16
0.59
70
Offsides
103
0.90
1.46
172
GK saves
165
1.45
Penafiel
Penafiel
DISCIPLINARY
Oliveirense
Oliveirense
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.46
290
Yellow card
266
2.33
0.10
12
Red card
11
0.10
10.35
1221
Fouls
1045
9.17
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
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NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Penafiel vs Oliveirense Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Oliveirense on 04 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Oliveirense Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Oliveirense's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Oliveirense sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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