Penafiel vs Maritimo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 09 May

Penafiel

W L W L W

14th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

1-0

09/05/2026 14:30

Maritimo

W L W W L

1st place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Maritimo on 09 May 2026 (kick-off: 14:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Maritimo preview before placing your bet.

Penafiel are currently 14th with 41 points after 34 matches.
Maritimo sit 1st with 66 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Maritimo to win with probability 39%.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:30

2026-05-09

Penafiel vs Maritimo - Prediction & Odds

Penafiel

Maritimo

2026-05-09 14:30

STANDINGS UP TO 09/05/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Maritimo	66	34	20	6	8	50	29	21
02 Viseu	59	34	17	8	9	58	33	25
03 SCU Torreense	59	34	18	5	11	46	33	13
04 Vizela	51	34	14	9	11	39	40	-1
05 Porto B	51	34	15	6	13	41	42	-1
06 Uniao Leiria	50	34	13	11	10	52	46	6
07 Leixoes	50	34	15	5	14	46	55	-9
08 Feirense	46	34	12	10	12	37	40	-3
09 GD Chaves	45	34	13	6	15	42	40	2
10 SL Benfica B	44	34	11	11	12	43	44	-1
11 FC Felgueiras	44	34	11	11	12	34	38	-4
12 Lusitania FC	43	34	11	10	13	44	52	-8
13 Sporting CP B	42	34	13	3	18	41	34	7
14 Penafiel	41	34	11	8	15	37	39	-2
15 Portimonense	40	34	11	7	16	39	49	-10
16 SC Farense	40	34	10	10	14	31	37	-6
17 Pacos de Ferreira	39	34	9	12	13	34	48	-14
18 Oliveirense	34	34	8	10	16	34	49	-15

Penafiel Last 6 matches

02/08/2026 00:00

Penafiel 0 - 2 Gil Vicente International Club Friendly

01/08/2026 16:30

Penafiel 0 - 2 Sporting Braga II International Club Friendly

24/07/2026 16:45

Penafiel 0 - 2 Leganes International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 19:00

FC Famalicao 0 - 0 Penafiel International Club Friendly

18/07/2026 15:00

Vitoria Guimaraes 5 - 0 Penafiel International Club Friendly

18/05/2026 02:30

Pacos de Ferreira 2 - 1 Penafiel Liga Portugal 2

Win

Draw

17%

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Maritimo

02/08/2026 03:00

Maritimo 1 - 0 Nacional da Madeira International Club Friendly

30/07/2026 01:00

Maritimo 1 - 1 Estrela da Calheta International Club Friendly

22/07/2026 16:00

Maritimo 2 - 0 Camacha International Club Friendly

17/07/2026 19:00

Maritimo 1 - 5 Leixoes International Club Friendly

14/07/2026 16:30

Maritimo 2 - 0 AVS Futebol SAD International Club Friendly

11/07/2026 17:00

Maritimo 0 - 1 Academica Coimbra International Club Friendly

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

110

Avg. per game

0.45

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored

130

Avg. per game

0.52

Conceded

146

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

91 (38%)151 (62%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

104 (42%)145 (58%)

Penafiel

Recent matches

Maritimo

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penafiel

Maritimo

Shots

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Maritimo

Total shots

11.31 avg / game

Blocked

340 total

Avg. 2.93

Penafiel Pass Maritimo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

37805

Avg. 378 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penafiel

242

Played games

Maritimo

249

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.32

4.67

1129

Corners

1162

4.67

2.82

682

Throw-ins

2640

10.60

0.57

137

Offsides

344

1.38

1.67

403

GK saves

509

2.04

Penafiel

DISCIPLINARY

Maritimo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

597

673

2.70

0.11

0.17

10.28

2487

Fouls

3284

13.19

0.00

Tackles

1682

6.76

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penafiel vs Maritimo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Maritimo on 09 May 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Maritimo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Maritimo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Maritimo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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