Penafiel vs Alverca Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 08

Penafiel

L L L L D

11th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

3-2

08/03/2025 07:50

Alverca

D W W W W

2nd place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Penafiel vs Alverca on March 08, 2025 (kick-off: 07:50) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Penafiel vs Alverca preview before placing for you.

Penafiel are currently 11th with 45 points after 34 matches.
Alverca sit 2nd with 63 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Alverca to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Penafiel and Alverca have each won 0 of the last 1 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:50

2025-03-08

Penafiel vs Alverca - Prediction & Odds

Penafiel

Alverca

2025-03-08 07:50

STANDINGS UP TO 08/03/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CD Tondela	64	34	17	13	4	58	35	23
02 Alverca	63	34	17	12	5	58	34	24
03 Vizela	62	34	17	11	6	50	30	20
04 SL Benfica B	55	34	15	10	9	53	38	15
05 SCU Torreense	54	34	15	9	10	49	42	7
06 Uniao Leiria	52	34	15	7	12	49	37	12
07 GD Chaves	51	34	14	9	11	40	34	6
08 Feirense	49	34	13	10	11	35	34	1
09 FC Felgueiras	46	34	11	13	10	43	38	5
10 Viseu	45	34	11	12	11	43	41	2
11 Penafiel	45	34	12	9	13	45	47	-2
12 Maritimo	43	34	10	13	11	42	48	-6
13 Leixoes	41	34	10	11	13	37	42	-5
14 Porto B	35	34	8	11	15	36	47	-11
15 Portimonense	34	34	9	7	18	38	54	-16
16 Pacos de Ferreira	33	34	9	6	19	34	50	-16
17 Oliveirense	29	34	7	8	19	30	64	-34
18 CD Mafra	27	34	6	9	19	29	54	-25

Head To Head

12/10/2024 09:00

Alverca

2 - 2

Penafiel

POR D2

Penafiel

Draw

100%

Alverca

Penafiel Last 6 matches

02/03/2025 10:00

Uniao Leiria 1 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

21/02/2025 14:00

Penafiel 3 - 0 Portimonense POR D2

16/02/2025 11:30

Porto B 3 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

08/02/2025 14:00

Penafiel 1 - 2 Pacos de Ferreira POR D2

01/02/2025 10:00

CD Tondela 2 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

26/01/2025 07:00

Penafiel 1 - 1 Vizela POR D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Alverca

01/03/2025 10:00

Alverca 2 - 0 CD Mafra POR D2

23/02/2025 10:00

Leixoes 1 - 1 Alverca POR D2

16/02/2025 13:00

Alverca 5 - 0 Maritimo POR D2

09/02/2025 10:00

Viseu 2 - 2 Alverca POR D2

02/02/2025 11:30

Alverca 2 - 1 Uniao Leiria POR D2

25/01/2025 07:00

FC Felgueiras 0 - 1 Alverca POR D2

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

155

Avg. per game

0.64

Conceded

186

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored

195

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

128

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 242 matches

YesNo

115 (48%)127 (52%)

In last 242 matches

NoYes

128 (59%)90 (41%)

Penafiel

Recent matches

Alverca

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Penafiel

Alverca

Shots

Penafiel

Total shots

10.18 avg / game

Blocked

46 total

Avg. 2.00

Alverca

Total shots

10.40 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.45

Penafiel Pass Alverca

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

12387

Avg. 364 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Penafiel

242

Played games

Alverca

218

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.34

4.67

1129

Corners

992

4.55

2.82

682

Throw-ins

677

3.11

0.57

137

Offsides

112

0.51

1.67

403

GK saves

230

1.06

Penafiel

DISCIPLINARY

Alverca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.47

597

488

2.24

0.11

0.12

10.28

2487

Fouls

867

3.98

0.00

Tackles

359

1.65

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Penafiel vs Alverca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Penafiel vs Alverca on 08 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Penafiel vs Alverca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Penafiel's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Alverca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Penafiel and Alverca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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