Parma vs Lecce: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 October

Parma
WWLLL
13th place in Italian Serie A
1
0-1
FT
04/10/2025 09:00
Lecce
DDWLW
17th place in Italian Serie A
Italian Serie A
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Parma vs Lecce on 04 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Parma vs Lecce preview before placing your bet.

  • Parma are currently 13th with 45 points after 38 matches.
  • Lecce sit 17th with 38 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Parma to win with probability 51%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Parma and Lecce have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:00

2025-10-04

Parma vs Lecce - Prediction & Odds

Parma
Parma
Lecce
Lecce
2025-10-04 09:00
51
26
23
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
1.75
FT
0-1 0-1
-
weather
17℃～18℃
STANDINGS UP TO 04/10/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Inter Milan Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 89 35 54
02 Napoli Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 58 36 22
03 AS Roma AS Roma
73 38 23 4 11 59 31 28
04 Como Como
71 38 20 11 7 65 29 36
05 AC Milan AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 53 35 18
06 Juventus Juventus
69 38 19 12 7 61 34 27
07 Atalanta Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 51 36 15
08 Bologna Bologna
56 38 16 8 14 49 46 3
09 Lazio Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 41 40 1
10 Udinese Udinese
50 38 14 8 16 45 48 -3
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 46 50 -4
12 Torino Torino
45 38 12 9 17 44 63 -19
13 Parma Parma
45 38 11 12 15 28 46 -18
14 Cagliari Cagliari
43 38 11 10 17 40 53 -13
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 41 50 -9
16 Genoa Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 41 51 -10
17 Lecce Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 28 50 -22
18 Cremonese Cremonese
34 38 8 10 20 32 57 -25
19 Verona Verona
21 38 3 12 23 25 61 -36
20 Pisa Pisa
18 38 2 12 24 26 71 -45
Head To Head
31/01/2025 15:45
Parma Parma
1 - 3
Lecce Lecce
ITA D1
21/09/2024 14:45
Lecce Lecce
2 - 2
Parma Parma
ITA D1
01/11/2023 13:00
Lecce Lecce
2 - 4
Parma Parma
ITA Cup
29/07/2022 14:45
Parma Parma
1 - 0
Lecce Lecce
INT CF
19/03/2022 09:00
Parma Parma
0 - 0
Lecce Lecce
ITA D2
07/11/2021 09:00
Lecce Lecce
4 - 0
Parma Parma
ITA D2
Parma
2
33%
Draw
2
33%
Lecce
2
33%
Parma Parma Last 6 matches
24/09/2025 11:00
Parma 2 - 2 Spezia ITA Cup
21/09/2025 09:00
Cremonese 0 - 0 Parma ITA D1
13/09/2025 09:00
Cagliari 2 - 0 Parma ITA D1
30/08/2025 12:30
Parma 1 - 1 Atalanta ITA D1
24/08/2025 14:45
Juventus 2 - 0 Parma ITA D1
17/08/2025 12:30
Parma 2 - 0 Pescara ITA Cup
Win
17%
Draw
50%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Lecce Lecce
23/09/2025 15:00
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce ITA Cup
19/09/2025 14:45
Lecce 1 - 2 Cagliari ITA D1
14/09/2025 09:00
Atalanta 4 - 1 Lecce ITA D1
29/08/2025 14:45
Lecce 0 - 2 AC Milan ITA D1
23/08/2025 12:30
Genoa 0 - 0 Lecce ITA D1
15/08/2025 14:45
Lecce 2 - 0 Juve Stabia ITA Cup
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Parma
Parma
265
 Lecce
Lecce
266
Goals
Scored
156
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
151
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored
150
Avg. per game
0.56
Conceded
149
Avg. per game
0.56
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 265 matches
YesNo
119 (45%)146 (55%)
In last 265 matches
NoYes
115 (43%)151 (57%)
Parma

Parma

Recent matches

Lecce

Lecce

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(38%)17 28(62%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Parma Parma
Lecce Lecce
Shots
Parma
Parma
Total shots
11.63 avg / game
Blocked
645 total
Avg. 3.32
Lecce
Lecce
Total shots
12.28 avg / game
Blocked
600 total
Avg. 3.28
Parma Parma Pass Lecce Lecce
Total passes
98412
Avg. 419 / game
Accurate
80%
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
69560
Avg. 355 / game
Accurate
76%
Ball possession
47%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Parma
Parma
25176
Avg. 95.00 / game
 Lecce
Lecce
25757
Avg. 96.83 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Parma
Parma
11767
Avg. 44.40 / game
 Lecce
Lecce
11754
Avg. 44.19 / game
OTHERS
Parma
Parma
265
Played games
Lecce
Lecce
266
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.28
74
Clean sheets
69
0.26
4.74
1257
Corners
1267
4.76
9.80
2597
Throw-ins
3254
12.23
1.32
351
Offsides
430
1.62
2.71
719
GK saves
678
2.55
Parma
Parma
DISCIPLINARY
Lecce
Lecce
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.04
541
Yellow card
517
1.94
0.11
30
Red card
23
0.09
11.63
3082
Fouls
3299
12.40
10.94
2898
Tackles
3000
11.28
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VS
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ITA

How We Build the Parma vs Lecce Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Parma vs Lecce on 04 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Parma vs Lecce Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Parma's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lecce's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Parma and Lecce sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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