Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 February

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

W W D W W

1st place in France Ligue 1

3-0

21/02/2026 16:05

Metz

L L D L L

18th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz on 21 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz preview before placing your bet.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) are currently 1st with 76 points after 34 matches.
Metz sit 18th with 17 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) to win with probability 83%.
Head-to-head history favors Paris Saint Germain (PSG), who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Metz have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:05

2026-02-21

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz - Prediction & Odds

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Metz

2026-02-21 16:05

STANDINGS UP TO 21/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

13/12/2025 14:00

Metz

2 - 3

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA D1

19/05/2024 15:00

Metz

0 - 2

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA D1

20/12/2023 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

3 - 1

Metz

FRA D1

21/05/2022 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

5 - 0

Metz

FRA D1

22/09/2021 15:00

Metz

1 - 2

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA D1

24/04/2021 11:00

Metz

1 - 3

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA D1

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

100%

Draw

Metz

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Last 6 matches

13/02/2026 14:00

Rennes 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

08/02/2026 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 0 Marseille FRA D1

01/02/2026 15:45

Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Newcastle United UEFA CL

23/01/2026 15:00

AJ Auxerre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

20/01/2026 16:00

Sporting CP 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Metz

06/02/2026 15:45

Metz 0 - 0 Lille FRA D1

01/02/2026 12:15

Angers 1 - 0 Metz FRA D1

25/01/2026 12:15

Metz 2 - 5 Lyon FRA D1

18/01/2026 10:00

Strasbourg 2 - 1 Metz FRA D1

11/01/2026 13:00

Metz 0 - 4 Montpellier FRAC

04/01/2026 12:15

Lorient 1 - 1 Metz FRA D1

Win

Draw

33%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Metz

284

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

224

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

220

Avg. per game

0.77

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

216 (72%)84 (28%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

147 (52%)137 (48%)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Recent matches

Metz

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Metz

Shots

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1013 total

Avg. 4.08

Metz

Total shots

10.70 avg / game

Blocked

520 total

Avg. 2.94

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Pass Metz

Total passes

183627

Avg. 668 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

63%

Total passes

91881

Avg. 420 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

OTHERS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Played games

Metz

284

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

106

Clean sheets

0.29

5.74

1722

Corners

1062

3.74

14.51

4353

Throw-ins

3624

12.76

1.77

531

Offsides

268

0.94

2.67

802

GK saves

689

2.43

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DISCIPLINARY

Metz

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

425

424

1.49

0.08

0.10

9.27

2782

Fouls

2776

9.77

13.55

4066

Tackles

3122

10.99

NEXT MATCHES

08/12

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

08/23

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

09/05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz on 21 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Metz Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Metz's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Metz sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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