Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

L W D W W

11th place in Group A

5-2

11/03/2026 16:00

Chelsea

D W L D W

6th place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea on 11 March 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea preview before placing your bet.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) are currently 11th with 14 points after 8 matches.
Chelsea sit 6th with 16 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) to win with probability 51%.
Head-to-head history favors Paris Saint Germain (PSG), who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Chelsea have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-03-11

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea - Prediction & Odds

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Chelsea

2026-03-11 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

13/07/2025 15:00

Chelsea

3 - 0

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FCWC

09/03/2016 15:45

Chelsea

1 - 2

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

16/02/2016 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

2 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

25/07/2015 18:10

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

1 - 1

Chelsea

ICC

11/03/2015 15:45

Chelsea

1 - 1

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

17/02/2015 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

1 - 1

Chelsea

UEFA CL

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

33%

Draw

50%

Chelsea

17%

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Last 6 matches

06/03/2026 15:45

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 3 Monaco FRA D1

28/02/2026 16:05

Le Havre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

25/02/2026 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 2 Monaco UEFA CL

21/02/2026 16:05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 0 Metz FRA D1

17/02/2026 16:00

Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

13/02/2026 14:00

Rennes 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Chelsea

07/03/2026 13:45

Wrexham 2 - 2 Chelsea ENG FAC

04/03/2026 15:30

Aston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea ENG PR

01/03/2026 12:30

Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea ENG PR

21/02/2026 11:00

Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley ENG PR

13/02/2026 15:45

Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea ENG FAC

10/02/2026 15:30

Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds United ENG PR

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Chelsea

300

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

293

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

204

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

216 (72%)84 (28%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

179 (60%)121 (40%)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Recent matches

Chelsea

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Chelsea

Shots

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Total shots

16.15 avg / game

Blocked

1013 total

Avg. 4.08

Chelsea

Total shots

14.76 avg / game

Blocked

1065 total

Avg. 4.16

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Pass Chelsea

Total passes

183627

Avg. 668 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

63%

Total passes

157149

Avg. 565 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

OTHERS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Played games

Chelsea

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

106

Clean sheets

0.31

5.74

1722

Corners

1722

5.74

14.51

4353

Throw-ins

4561

15.20

1.77

531

Offsides

531

1.77

2.67

802

GK saves

806

2.69

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DISCIPLINARY

Chelsea

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.42

425

626

2.09

0.08

0.07

9.27

2782

Fouls

3305

11.02

13.55

4066

Tackles

4080

13.60

NEXT MATCHES

08/12

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

08/23

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

FRA

09/05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea on 11 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Chelsea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Chelsea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Chelsea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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