Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – May 07

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

L D W W W

2nd place in Group F

0-1

07/05/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund

W W L D W

1st place in Group F

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund on May 07, 2024 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund preview before placing for you.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) are currently 2nd with 8 points after 6 matches.
Borussia Dortmund sit 1st with 11 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) to win with probability 63%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Borussia Dortmund have each won 2 of the last 6 meetings, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2024-05-07

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Odds

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Borussia Dortmund

2024-05-07 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2024

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Borussia Dortmund	11	6	3	2	1	7	4	3
02 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	8	6	2	2	2	9	8	1
03 AC Milan	8	6	2	2	2	5	8	-3
04 Newcastle United	5	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1

Head To Head

01/05/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 0

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

13/12/2023 16:00

Borussia Dortmund

1 - 1

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

19/09/2023 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

2 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

UEFA CL

11/03/2020 16:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

2 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

UEFA CL

18/02/2020 16:00

Borussia Dortmund

2 - 1

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

UEFA CL

04/11/2010 16:05

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

0 - 0

Borussia Dortmund

UEFA EL

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

33%

Draw

33%

Borussia Dortmund

33%

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Last 6 matches

01/05/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

27/04/2024 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 3 - 3 Le Havre FRA D1

24/04/2024 13:00

Lorient 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

21/04/2024 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 4 - 1 Lyon FRA D1

16/04/2024 15:00

FC Barcelona 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

10/04/2024 15:00

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 2 - 3 FC Barcelona UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Borussia Dortmund

04/05/2024 09:30

Borussia Dortmund 5 - 1 Augsburg GER D1

01/05/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL

27/04/2024 09:30

RB Leipzig 4 - 1 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

21/04/2024 11:30

Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen GER D1

16/04/2024 15:00

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

13/04/2024 09:30

Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund GER D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Borussia Dortmund

300

Goals

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

170

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

335

Avg. per game

1.12

Conceded

223

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

216 (72%)84 (28%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Borussia Dortmund

Shots

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Total shots

16.14 avg / game

Blocked

1012 total

Avg. 4.08

Borussia Dortmund

Total shots

13.91 avg / game

Blocked

917 total

Avg. 3.54

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Pass Borussia Dortmund

Total passes

183720

Avg. 668 / game

Accurate

90%

Ball possession

63%

Total passes

147028

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

OTHERS

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

300

Played games

Borussia Dortmund

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

106

Clean sheets

0.31

5.73

1719

Corners

1597

5.32

14.52

4355

Throw-ins

4956

16.52

1.77

530

Offsides

436

1.45

2.67

801

GK saves

834

2.78

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

DISCIPLINARY

Borussia Dortmund

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.41

423

497

1.66

0.08

0.07

9.28

2783

Fouls

2937

9.79

13.54

4063

Tackles

4082

13.61

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08/23

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How We Build the Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund on 07 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paris Saint Germain (PSG) vs Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Borussia Dortmund's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Borussia Dortmund sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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