Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 01

Palmeiras

L D D L W

2nd place in Brazil Serie A

3-0

01/10/2025 18:00

Vasco da Gama

L L L W L

14th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama on October 01, 2025 (kick-off: 18:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama preview before placing for you.

Palmeiras are currently 2nd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Vasco da Gama sit 14th with 45 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Palmeiras to win with probability 69%.
Head-to-head history favors Palmeiras, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Vasco da Gama have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:00

2025-10-01

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama - Prediction & Odds

Palmeiras

Vasco da Gama

2025-10-01 18:00

STANDINGS UP TO 01/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Flamengo	79	38	23	10	5	78	27	51
02 Palmeiras	76	38	23	7	8	66	33	33
03 Cruzeiro	70	38	19	13	6	55	31	24
04 Mirassol	67	38	18	13	7	63	39	24
05 Fluminense RJ	64	38	19	7	12	50	39	11
06 Botafogo RJ	63	38	17	12	9	58	38	20
07 Bahia	60	38	17	9	12	50	46	4
08 Sao Paulo	51	38	14	9	15	43	47	-4
09 Gremio (RS)	49	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3
10 Bragantino	48	38	14	6	18	45	57	-12
11 Atletico Mineiro	48	38	12	12	14	43	44	-1
12 Santos	47	38	12	11	15	45	50	-5
13 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	47	38	12	11	15	42	47	-5
14 Vasco da Gama	45	38	13	6	19	55	60	-5
15 Vitoria BA	45	38	11	12	15	35	52	-17
16 Internacional RS	44	38	11	11	16	44	57	-13
17 Ceara	43	38	11	10	17	34	40	-6
18 Fortaleza	43	38	11	10	17	43	58	-15
19 Juventude	35	38	9	8	21	35	69	-34
20 Sport Club do Recife	17	38	2	11	25	28	75	-47

Head To Head

04/05/2025 15:00

Vasco da Gama

0 - 1

Palmeiras

BRA D1

22/09/2024 15:00

Vasco da Gama

0 - 1

Palmeiras

BRA D1

13/06/2024 20:30

Palmeiras

2 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

27/08/2023 17:30

Palmeiras

1 - 0

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

23/04/2023 15:00

Vasco da Gama

2 - 2

Palmeiras

BRA D1

26/01/2021 19:00

Palmeiras

1 - 1

Vasco da Gama

BRA D1

Palmeiras

67%

Draw

33%

Vasco da Gama

Palmeiras Last 6 matches

28/09/2025 15:00

Bahia 1 - 0 Palmeiras BRA D1

24/09/2025 20:30

Palmeiras 3 - 1 River Plate CON CLA

20/09/2025 20:00

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Fortaleza BRA D1

17/09/2025 20:30

River Plate 1 - 2 Palmeiras CON CLA

13/09/2025 17:30

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Internacional RS BRA D1

31/08/2025 17:30

Corinthians Paulista (SP) 1 - 1 Palmeiras BRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Vasco da Gama

27/09/2025 17:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 0 Cruzeiro BRA D1

24/09/2025 18:30

Vasco da Gama 3 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

21/09/2025 16:30

Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

14/09/2025 19:30

Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 Ceara BRA D1

11/09/2025 20:30

Botafogo RJ 1 - 1 Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil

31/08/2025 19:30

Sport Club do Recife 2 - 3 Vasco da Gama BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

284

Avg. per game

0.95

Conceded

126

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

216

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

194

Avg. per game

0.65

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

185 (62%)115 (38%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

142 (47%)158 (53%)

Palmeiras

Recent matches

Vasco da Gama

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Palmeiras

Vasco da Gama

Shots

Palmeiras

Total shots

14.41 avg / game

Blocked

815 total

Avg. 3.76

Vasco da Gama

Total shots

11.01 avg / game

Blocked

539 total

Avg. 2.91

Palmeiras Pass Vasco da Gama

Total passes

104778

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

89578

Avg. 386 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Palmeiras

300

Played games

Vasco da Gama

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.45

134

Clean sheets

0.30

5.76

1728

Corners

1346

4.49

13.46

4039

Throw-ins

3099

10.33

1.83

549

Offsides

286

0.95

2.50

751

GK saves

699

2.33

Palmeiras

DISCIPLINARY

Vasco da Gama

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

518

641

2.14

0.07

0.12

11.92

3575

Fouls

2910

9.70

12.24

3671

Tackles

3059

10.20

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama on 01 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Palmeiras's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Vasco da Gama's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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