Palencia vs UD Santa Marta Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 30

Palencia

W D D W L

No standing data

2 - 1

30/09/2023 15:59

UD Santa Marta

L W W L W

No standing data

Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Palencia vs UD Santa Marta on September 30, 2023 (kick-off: 15:59) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Palencia vs UD Santa Marta preview before placing for you.

Head-to-head history favors UD Santa Marta, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Palencia have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Palencia and UD Santa Marta in the Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division football standings for the 2023-2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

12/03/2023 15:59

Palencia

3 - 0

UD Santa Marta

Spain D4

05/11/2022 15:30

UD Santa Marta

2 - 1

Palencia

Spain D4

23/04/2022 15:30

Palencia

2 - 1

UD Santa Marta

Spain D4

11/12/2021 15:00

UD Santa Marta

1 - 0

Palencia

Spain D4

15/05/2016 15:59

UD Santa Marta

4 - 1

Palencia

Spain D4

03/01/2016 15:59

Palencia

1 - 1

UD Santa Marta

Spain D4

Palencia

33%

Draw

17%

UD Santa Marta

50%

Palencia Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 14:00

Ponferradina B 1 - 3 Palencia Spain D4

16/09/2023 15:59

Palencia 0 - 0 Colegios Diocesanos Spain D4

09/09/2023 15:30

Atletico Astorga 1 - 1 Palencia Spain D4

22/04/2023 15:59

Palencia 3 - 2 Numancia B Spain D4

16/04/2023 15:00

CD Becerril 3 - 2 Palencia Spain D4

09/04/2023 15:00

Palencia 1 - 2 Atletico Tordesillas Spain D4

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches UD Santa Marta

23/09/2023 15:00

UD Santa Marta 1 - 2 Burgos Promesas Spain D4

16/09/2023 15:00

CyDL Jupiter Leones 0 - 1 UD Santa Marta Spain D4

09/09/2023 15:59

UD Santa Marta 2 - 0 Almazan Spain D4

27/08/2023 18:00

UD Santa Marta 0 - 1 CF Salmantino SPA FC

20/08/2023 15:59

Villaralbo CF 0 - 4 UD Santa Marta SPA FC

22/04/2023 15:59

UD Santa Marta 2 - 1 Atletico Tordesillas Spain D4

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish Bizkaia-Tercer...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

147

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

117

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

135

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

154

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 175 matches

YesNo

100 (57%)75 (43%)

In last 175 matches

NoYes

96 (46%)112 (54%)

Palencia

Recent matches

UD Santa Marta

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Palencia

UD Santa Marta

Shots

Palencia

Total shots

10.24 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

UD Santa Marta

Total shots

10.38 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Palencia Pass UD Santa Marta

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Palencia

175

Played games

UD Santa Marta

208

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.28

2.73

477

Corners

564

2.71

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.10

Offsides

0.13

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Palencia

DISCIPLINARY

UD Santa Marta

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.43

250

240

1.15

0.08

0.09

0.66

116

Fouls

0.36

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Palencia vs UD Santa Marta Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Palencia vs UD Santa Marta on 30 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Palencia vs UD Santa Marta Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Palencia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against UD Santa Marta's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division standings and the Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division form table to understand exactly where Palencia and UD Santa Marta sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish Bizkaia-Tercera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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