Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Paganese
WWLLW
No standing data
1
1-1
FT
05/10/2025 09:00
Virtus Francavilla
WLDWD
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 42%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Paganese and Virtus Francavilla have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
09:00

2025-10-05

Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla - Prediction & Odds

Paganese
Paganese
Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
2025-10-05 09:00
42
31
27
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.00
2.15
FT
1-1 0-0
-
weather
20°C
STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Virtus Francavilla in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
13/03/2022 12:30
Francavilla Francavilla
3 - 3
Paganese Paganese
ITA C1
30/10/2021 08:30
Paganese Paganese
2 - 1
Francavilla Francavilla
ITA C1
17/02/2021 10:00
Francavilla Francavilla
0 - 0
Paganese Paganese
ITA C1
21/10/2020 09:00
Paganese Paganese
0 - 0
Francavilla Francavilla
ITA C1
26/01/2020 10:00
Francavilla Francavilla
2 - 0
Paganese Paganese
ITA C1
15/09/2019 09:00
Paganese Paganese
2 - 2
Francavilla Francavilla
ITA C1
Paganese
1
17%
Draw
4
67%
Virtus Francavilla
1
17%
Paganese Paganese Last 6 matches
28/09/2025 09:00
FC Francavilla 1 - 3 Paganese ITA S4
24/09/2025 14:30
Paganese 1 - 0 Real Acerrana ITA S4
19/09/2025 13:10
A.S Andria Bat 1 - 0 Paganese ITA S4
14/09/2025 10:05
Paganese 0 - 1 Heraclea ITA S4
07/09/2025 09:30
Nardo 1 - 2 Paganese ITA S4
31/08/2025 10:00
Paganese 2 - 0 Ischia Isolaverde ITA S4 CUP
Win
67%
Draw
0%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
28/09/2025 09:30
Francavilla 2 - 1 Real Agro Aversa ITA S4
24/09/2025 10:00
Ferrandina 2 - 1 Francavilla ITA S4
21/09/2025 11:00
Francavilla 1 - 1 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4
14/09/2025 10:00
Manfredonia 2 - 5 Francavilla ITA S4
07/09/2025 11:00
Francavilla 2 - 2 Barletta ITA S4
31/08/2025 12:00
Francavilla 1 - 1 Citta di Fasano ITA S4 CUP
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Paganese
Paganese
18
 Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
17
Goals
Scored
9
Avg. per game
0.50
Conceded
3
Avg. per game
0.17
Scored
10
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
12
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 18 home matches
YesNo
9 (50%)9 (50%)
In last 18 home matches
NoYes
9 (53%)8 (47%)
Paganese

Paganese

Recent matches

Virtus Francavilla

Virtus Francavilla

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)14 3(18%)

Under /Over

(17%)3 15(83%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)5 12(71%)

Under /Over

(11%)2 16(89%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)4 13(76%)

/Yes

(28%)5 13(72%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(65%)11 6(35%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Paganese Paganese
Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
Shots
Paganese
Paganese
Total shots
13.15 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
Total shots
11.38 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Paganese Paganese Pass Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
56%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Paganese
Paganese
1131
Avg. 62.83 / game
 Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1138
Avg. 66.94 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Paganese
Paganese
814
Avg. 45.22 / game
 Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
787
Avg. 46.29 / game
OTHERS
Paganese
Paganese
18
Played games
Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.61
11
Clean sheets
3
0.18
4.17
75
Corners
47
2.76
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.44
8
Offsides
7
0.41
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Paganese
Paganese
DISCIPLINARY
Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.33
24
Yellow card
35
2.06
0.06
1
Red card
1
0.06
1.56
28
Fouls
97
5.71
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Virtus Francavilla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Virtus Francavilla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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