Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Paganese

W W L L W

No standing data

1-1

05/10/2025 09:00

Virtus Francavilla

W L D W D

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Paganese and Virtus Francavilla have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2025-10-05

Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla - Prediction & Odds

Paganese

Virtus Francavilla

2025-10-05 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Virtus Francavilla in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

13/03/2022 12:30

Francavilla

3 - 3

Paganese

ITA C1

30/10/2021 08:30

Paganese

2 - 1

Francavilla

ITA C1

17/02/2021 10:00

Francavilla

0 - 0

Paganese

ITA C1

21/10/2020 09:00

Paganese

0 - 0

Francavilla

ITA C1

26/01/2020 10:00

Francavilla

2 - 0

Paganese

ITA C1

15/09/2019 09:00

Paganese

2 - 2

Francavilla

ITA C1

Paganese

17%

Draw

67%

Virtus Francavilla

17%

Paganese Last 6 matches

28/09/2025 09:00

FC Francavilla 1 - 3 Paganese ITA S4

24/09/2025 14:30

Paganese 1 - 0 Real Acerrana ITA S4

19/09/2025 13:10

A.S Andria Bat 1 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

14/09/2025 10:05

Paganese 0 - 1 Heraclea ITA S4

07/09/2025 09:30

Nardo 1 - 2 Paganese ITA S4

31/08/2025 10:00

Paganese 2 - 0 Ischia Isolaverde ITA S4 CUP

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Virtus Francavilla

28/09/2025 09:30

Francavilla 2 - 1 Real Agro Aversa ITA S4

24/09/2025 10:00

Ferrandina 2 - 1 Francavilla ITA S4

21/09/2025 11:00

Francavilla 1 - 1 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4

14/09/2025 10:00

Manfredonia 2 - 5 Francavilla ITA S4

07/09/2025 11:00

Francavilla 2 - 2 Barletta ITA S4

31/08/2025 12:00

Francavilla 1 - 1 Citta di Fasano ITA S4 CUP

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

125

Avg. per game

0.56

Scored

113

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

121

Avg. per game

0.52

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 224 matches

YesNo

101 (45%)123 (55%)

In last 224 matches

NoYes

87 (37%)146 (63%)

Paganese

Recent matches

Virtus Francavilla

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paganese

Virtus Francavilla

Shots

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Virtus Francavilla

Total shots

9.08 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese Pass Virtus Francavilla

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Paganese

224

Played games

Virtus Francavilla

233

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.28

2.90

649

Corners

853

3.66

0.00

Throw-ins

0.11

0.12

Offsides

0.09

0.00

GK saves

0.03

Paganese

DISCIPLINARY

Virtus Francavilla

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

395

584

2.51

0.10

0.12

0.44

Fouls

243

1.04

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Virtus Francavilla's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Virtus Francavilla sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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