Paganese vs Santa Maria: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 April

Paganese

L L L L L

No standing data

4 - 0

28/04/2024 09:00

Santa Maria

W L D L L

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Santa Maria on 28 April 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Santa Maria preview before placing your bet.

Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Paganese and Santa Maria have each won 0 of the last 1 meetings, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 28/04/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Santa Maria in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2024 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

16/12/2023 09:30

Santa Maria

0 - 0

Paganese

ITA S4

Paganese

Draw

100%

Santa Maria

Paganese Last 6 matches

21/04/2024 09:00

SS Angri 1 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

14/04/2024 09:00

Paganese 1 - 2 Team Altamura ITA S4

07/04/2024 09:00

ASD Martina Franca 3 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

28/03/2024 09:30

Paganese 2 - 5 FBC Gravina ITA S4

24/03/2024 09:30

Casarano 2 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

17/03/2024 09:30

Paganese 3 - 0 Palmese 1914 ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Santa Maria

21/04/2024 09:00

Citta di Fasano 0 - 3 Santa Maria ITA S4

14/04/2024 09:30

Santa Maria 0 - 3 ASD Martina Franca ITA S4

07/04/2024 09:00

SS Angri 0 - 0 Santa Maria ITA S4

28/03/2024 09:30

Santa Maria 3 - 4 Casarano ITA S4

24/03/2024 10:00

Team Altamura 1 - 0 Santa Maria ITA S4

17/03/2024 09:30

Santa Maria 0 - 3 A.S Andria Bat ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

122

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 224 matches

YesNo

91 (41%)133 (59%)

In last 224 matches

NoYes

54 (50%)55 (50%)

Paganese

Recent matches

Santa Maria

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paganese

Santa Maria

Shots

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Santa Maria

Total shots

7.00 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese Pass Santa Maria

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Paganese

224

Played games

Santa Maria

109

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.29

2.90

649

Corners

208

1.91

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Paganese

DISCIPLINARY

Santa Maria

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

395

163

1.50

0.10

0.09

0.44

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Santa Maria Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Santa Maria on 28 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Santa Maria Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Santa Maria's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Santa Maria sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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