Paganese vs Nardo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 January

Paganese

D W W L W

No standing data

0-1

04/01/2026 14:00

Nardo

D W D D W

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Nardo on 04 January 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Nardo preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 48%.
Head-to-head history favors Paganese, who have won 1 of the last 3 meetings. Nardo have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-01-04

Paganese vs Nardo - Prediction & Odds

Paganese

Nardo

2026-01-04 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/01/2026

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Nardo in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

07/09/2025 13:30

Nardo

1 - 2

Paganese

ITA S4

14/01/2024 13:30

Paganese

1 - 1

Nardo

ITA S4

17/09/2023 14:00

Nardo

1 - 1

Paganese

ITA S4

Paganese

33%

Draw

67%

Nardo

Paganese Last 6 matches

21/12/2025 14:15

Paganese 0 - 0 Citta di Fasano ITA S4

14/12/2025 13:30

SS Nola 1925 0 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

07/12/2025 14:30

Paganese 1 - 0 FBC Gravina ITA S4

30/11/2025 13:30

Afragolese 1944 2 - 0 Paganese ITA S4

23/11/2025 14:00

Paganese 1 - 0 Real Agro Aversa ITA S4

16/11/2025 14:00

Paganese 0 - 0 Ferrandina ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Nardo

21/12/2025 15:00

Barletta 0 - 0 Nardo ITA S4

14/12/2025 14:00

Nardo 1 - 0 Ferrandina ITA S4

07/12/2025 13:30

Manfredonia 1 - 1 Nardo ITA S4

30/11/2025 13:30

Nardo 1 - 1 Sarnese ITA S4

23/11/2025 13:30

Pompei 2 - 3 Nardo ITA S4

16/11/2025 15:00

Nardo 3 - 0 Francavilla ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Played games

Goals

Scored

144

Avg. per game

1.29

Conceded

106

Avg. per game

0.95

Scored

192

Avg. per game

1.73

Conceded

102

Avg. per game

0.92

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 112 home matches

YesNo

80 (71%)32 (29%)

In last 112 home matches

NoYes

88 (79%)23 (21%)

Paganese

Recent matches

Nardo

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paganese

Nardo

Shots

Paganese

Total shots

10.29 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nardo

Total shots

11.69 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese Pass Nardo

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Paganese

112

Played games

Nardo

111

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.44

Clean sheets

0.43

3.58

401

Corners

522

4.70

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.07

Offsides

0.09

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Paganese

DISCIPLINARY

Nardo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.01

225

218

1.96

0.10

0.14

0.35

Fouls

119

1.07

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Nardo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Nardo on 04 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Nardo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Nardo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Nardo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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